Articles | Volume 22, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-22-761-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-22-761-2026
Research article
 | 
04 Mar 2026
Research article |  | 04 Mar 2026

Response of a semi-enclosed sea to perturbed freshwater and open ocean salinity forcing

Lars Arneborg, Magnus Hieronymus, Per Pemberton, Ye Liu, and Sam T. Fredriksson

Related authors

Validation of the coupled physical–biogeochemical ocean model NEMO–SCOBI for the North Sea–Baltic Sea system
Itzel Ruvalcaba Baroni, Elin Almroth-Rosell, Lars Axell, Sam T. Fredriksson, Jenny Hieronymus, Magnus Hieronymus, Sandra-Esther Brunnabend, Matthias Gröger, Ivan Kuznetsov, Filippa Fransner, Robinson Hordoir, Saeed Falahat, and Lars Arneborg
Biogeosciences, 21, 2087–2132, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-2087-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-21-2087-2024, 2024
Short summary
Observations of strong turbulence and mixing impacting water exchange between two basins in the Baltic Sea
Julia Muchowski, Martin Jakobsson, Lars Umlauf, Lars Arneborg, Bo Gustafsson, Peter Holtermann, Christoph Humborg, and Christian Stranne
Ocean Sci., 19, 1809–1825, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-1809-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-1809-2023, 2023
Short summary
In situ observations of turbulent ship wakes and their spatiotemporal extent
Amanda T. Nylund, Lars Arneborg, Anders Tengberg, Ulf Mallast, and Ida-Maja Hassellöv
Ocean Sci., 17, 1285–1302, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-17-1285-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/os-17-1285-2021, 2021
Short summary

Cited articles

Arneborg, L.: Comment on “Influence of sea level rise on the dynamics of salt inflows in the Baltic Sea” by R. Hordoir, L. Axell, U. Löptien, H. Dietze, and I. Kuznetsov, Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 121, 2035–2040, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JC011451, 2016. 
Arneborg, L., Hieronymus, M., Pemberton, P., Liu, Y., and Fredriksson, S.: Dataset for Response of a semi-enclosed sea to perturbed freshwater and open ocean salinity forcing, Zenodo [data set], https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18199627, 2026. 
Balmaseda, M. A., Mogensen, K., and Weaver, A. T.: Evaluation of the ECMWF ocean reanalysis system ORAS4, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 139, 1132–1161, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.2063, 2013. 
Bruciaferri, D., Shapiro, G. I., and Wobus, F.: A Multi-Envelope Vertical Coordinate System for Numerical Ocean Modelling, Ocean Dynamics, 68, 1239–1258, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-018-1189-x, 2018. 
Burchard, H., Bolding, K., Feistel, R., Gräwe, U., Klingbeil, K., MacCready, P., Mohrholz, V., Umlauf, L., and van der Lee, E. M.: The Knudsen theorem and the Total Exchange Flow analysis framework applied to the Baltic Sea, Progress in Oceanography, 165, 268–286, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2018.04.004, 2018. 
Download
Short summary
Climate change influences estuaries and their ecosystems not only by rising temperatures but also by salinity changes. This modeling study highlights the magnitude and causes of the Baltic Sea salinity sensitivity to fresh water forcing and changed ocean salinity. The large sensitivity to increased fresh water forcing is shown to be caused by dilution of fresh water within the estuary, recirculation of much of the outflow water back into the estuary, as well as decreasing inflows of ocean water.
Share