Ocean Science
Ocean Science
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Articles | Volume 22, issue 5
Articles | Volume 22, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-22-3245-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-22-3245-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 22, issue 5
Research article
 | 
21 Oct 2026
Research article |  | 21 Oct 2026

AMOC weakening across latitude and time in CMIP6 future scenarios

Harry Ashton-Key, Jennifer Mecking, Robert Marsh, Sybren Drijfhout, Marilena Oltmanns, and Alejandra Sanchez-Franks

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Short summary
The North Atlantic ocean circulation is expected to weaken due to climate change. First signs of weakening are expected in the subpolar north, reverberating equatorward over years to decades, with unfolding consequences for the climate of Europe and beyond. As the pattern of weakening may provide an early warning of several years, we scrutinise leading climate models to show that the location and degree of weakening strongly depends on the model type and extent of climate change.
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