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Articles | Volume 21, issue 1
Articles | Volume 21, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-37-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-37-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 21, issue 1
Research article
 | 
14 Jan 2025
Research article |  | 14 Jan 2025

A new vision of the Adriatic Dense Water future under extreme warming

Cléa Denamiel, Iva Tojčić, and Petra Pranić

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Cited articles

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Androulidakis, Y. S., Kombiadou, K. D., Makris, C. V., Baltikas, V. N., and Krestenitis, Y. N.: Storm surges in the Mediterranean Sea: Variability and trends under future climatic conditions, Dynam. Atmos. Oceans, 71, 56–82, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dynatmoce.2015.06.001, 2015. 
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We use a high-resolution atmosphere–ocean model to project Adriatic Dense Water dynamics under extreme warming. We find that a 15 % increase in sea surface evaporation will offset a 25 % decrease in extreme windstorms. As a result, future dense water will form at the same rate as today but will be too light to reach the Adriatic's deepest parts, making deep-water presence reliant on exchanges with the Ionian Sea.
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