A new vision of the Adriatic Dense Water future under extreme warming

Denamiel, Cléa; Tojčić, Iva; Pranić, Petra

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-37-2025

Articles | Volume 21, issue 1

https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-37-2025

© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-37-2025

© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 21, issue 1

Research article

|

14 Jan 2025

Research article |

| 14 Jan 2025

A new vision of the Adriatic Dense Water future under extreme warming

Cléa Denamiel, Iva Tojčić, and Petra Pranić

Data sets

A New Vision of the Adriatic Dense Water Future under Extreme Warming Clea Denamiel https://osf.io/cxtfb/

Model code and software

AdriSC Climate Model: Evaluation Run Clea Denamiel https://osf.io/zb3cm

Video supplement

Animation of the Adriatic dense and deep- water under far-future extreme warming Clea Denamiel https://osf.io/8em3f/

Short summary

We use a high-resolution atmosphere–ocean model to project Adriatic Dense Water dynamics under extreme warming. We find that a 15 % increase in sea surface evaporation will offset a 25 % decrease in extreme windstorms. As a result, future dense water will form at the same rate as today but will be too light to reach the Adriatic's deepest parts, making deep-water presence reliant on exchanges with the Ionian Sea.