Ocean Science
Ocean Science
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Articles | Volume 21, issue 1
Articles | Volume 21, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-37-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-37-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 21, issue 1
Research article
 | 
14 Jan 2025
Research article |  | 14 Jan 2025

A new vision of the Adriatic Dense Water future under extreme warming

Cléa Denamiel, Iva Tojčić, and Petra Pranić

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Short summary
We use a high-resolution atmosphere–ocean model to project Adriatic Dense Water dynamics under extreme warming. We find that a 15 % increase in sea surface evaporation will offset a 25 % decrease in extreme windstorms. As a result, future dense water will form at the same rate as today but will be too light to reach the Adriatic's deepest parts, making deep-water presence reliant on exchanges with the Ionian Sea.
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