Articles | Volume 21, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-2397-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-2397-2025
Research article
 | 
10 Oct 2025
Research article |  | 10 Oct 2025

A novel multispecies approach for the detection of regime shifts in a plankton community – a case study in the North Sea

Paul Dees, Friederike Fröb, Beatriz Arellano-Nava, David G. Johns, and Christoph Heinze

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Short summary
In this paper we describe a novel methodology to automate the estimation of ecological regime shift probability in a single time series. We have applied this new methodology to the continuous plankton recorder dataset in the North Sea and have shown how the model is able to estimate the likelihood of a regime shift using abundance data of multiple phytoplankton and zooplankton species.
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