Articles | Volume 21, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-2397-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-2397-2025
Research article
 | 
10 Oct 2025
Research article |  | 10 Oct 2025

A novel multispecies approach for the detection of regime shifts in a plankton community – a case study in the North Sea

Paul Dees, Friederike Fröb, Beatriz Arellano-Nava, David G. Johns, and Christoph Heinze

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-470', Tomas Marina, 20 Mar 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Paul Dees, 09 Apr 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-470', Anonymous Referee #2, 29 Apr 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Paul Dees, 06 Jul 2025

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Paul Dees on behalf of the Authors (07 Jul 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (15 Jul 2025) by Mario Hoppema
AR by Paul Dees on behalf of the Authors (23 Jul 2025)  Author's response   Manuscript 
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Short summary
In this paper we describe a novel methodology to automate the estimation of ecological regime shift probability in a single time series. We have applied this new methodology to the continuous plankton recorder dataset in the North Sea and have shown how the model is able to estimate the likelihood of a regime shift using abundance data of multiple phytoplankton and zooplankton species.
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