Articles | Volume 15, issue 6
Ocean Sci., 15, 1399–1418, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-15-1399-2019
Ocean Sci., 15, 1399–1418, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-15-1399-2019

Research article 07 Nov 2019

Research article | 07 Nov 2019

Extreme sea levels in the Baltic Sea under climate change scenarios – Part 1: Model validation and sensitivity

Christian Dieterich et al.

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed
Status: closed
AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
AR by Christian Dieterich on behalf of the Authors (20 Aug 2019)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (29 Aug 2019) by Joanne Williams
AR by Christian Dieterich on behalf of the Authors (26 Sep 2019)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (01 Oct 2019) by Joanne Williams
AR by Christian Dieterich on behalf of the Authors (01 Oct 2019)  Author's response    Manuscript
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Short summary
We assess storm surges in the Baltic Sea and how they are represented in a regional climate model. We show how well different model formulations agree with each other and how this model uncertainty relates to observational uncertainty. With an ensemble of model solutions that represent today's climate, we show that this uncertainty is of the same size as the observational uncertainty. The second part of this study compares climate uncertainty with scenario uncertainty and natural variability.