Articles | Volume 22, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-22-367-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-22-367-2026
Research article
 | 
02 Feb 2026
Research article |  | 02 Feb 2026

Rogue wave indicators from global models and buoy data

Laura Azevedo, Gabriel Marcon, Steven Meyers, and Mark Luther

Cited articles

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Azevedo, L., Meyers, S., Pleskachevsky, A., Pereira, H. P., and Luther, M.: Characterizing rogue waves at the entrance of Tampa Bay (Florida, USA), Journal of Marine Science and Engineering, 10, 507–531, https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse10040507, 2022. 
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Barbariol, F., Bidlot, J.-R., Cavaleri, L. I., Sclavo, M., Thomson, J., and Benetazzo, A.: Maximum wave heights from global model reanalysis, Prog. Oceanogr., 175, 139–160, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2019.03.009, 2019a. 
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Short summary
Rogue wave risk is assessed using buoy observations and compared with reanalysis and numerical wave models. Results show that models typically underestimate extremes due to spectral smoothing and spatial averaging. Rogue waves are frequently preceded by a rapid decrease in crest–trough correlation below 0.5, followed by a sharp increase above 0.6, indicating that temporal wave-field evolution, rather than static values, is critical for identification and possible prediction.
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