Articles | Volume 20, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-20-265-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-20-265-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
28 Feb 2024
Research article |
| 28 Feb 2024
| 28 Feb 2024
Predictability of marine heatwaves: assessment based on the ECMWF seasonal forecast system
Eric de Boisséson
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, RG2 9AX, United Kingdom
Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, RG2 9AX, United Kingdom
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Short summary
Marine heatwaves are long periods of extremely warm ocean surface temperatures. Predicting such events a few months in advance would help decision-making to mitigate their impacts on marine ecosystems. This work investigates how well operational seasonal forecasts can predict marine heatwaves. Results show that such events can be predicted a few months in advance in the tropics but that extending the predictability skill to other regions will require additional work on the forecast models.
Marine heatwaves are long periods of extremely warm ocean surface temperatures. Predicting such...
