Ocean Science
Ocean Science
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Articles | Volume 20, issue 1
Articles | Volume 20, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-20-265-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-20-265-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 20, issue 1
Research article
 | 
28 Feb 2024
Research article |  | 28 Feb 2024

Predictability of marine heatwaves: assessment based on the ECMWF seasonal forecast system

Eric de Boisséson and Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda

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Short summary
Marine heatwaves are long periods of extremely warm ocean surface temperatures. Predicting such events a few months in advance would help decision-making to mitigate their impacts on marine ecosystems. This work investigates how well operational seasonal forecasts can predict marine heatwaves. Results show that such events can be predicted a few months in advance in the tropics but that extending the predictability skill to other regions will require additional work on the forecast models.
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Extremes in the marine environment: analysis of multi-temporal...