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Ocean Science An interactive open-access journal of the European Geosciences Union
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Volume 12, issue 3
Ocean Sci., 12, 613–632, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-12-613-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Ocean Sci., 12, 613–632, 2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-12-613-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Research article 02 May 2016

Research article | 02 May 2016

Projected sea level rise and changes in extreme storm surge and wave events during the 21st century in the region of Singapore

Heather Cannaby et al.

Related authors

Physical processes mediating climate change impacts on regional sea ecosystems
J. Holt, C. Schrum, H. Cannaby, U. Daewel, I. Allen, Y. Artioli, L. Bopp, M. Butenschon, B. A. Fach, J. Harle, D. Pushpadas, B. Salihoglu, and S. Wakelin
Biogeosciences Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/bgd-11-1909-2014,https://doi.org/10.5194/bgd-11-1909-2014, 2014
Revised manuscript not accepted

Cited articles

Atlas, R., Hoffman, R. N., Ardizzone, J., Leidner, S. M., Jusem, J. C., Smith, D. K., and Gombos, D.: A cross-calibrated, multiplatform ocean surface wind velocity product for meteorological and oceanographic applications, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 92, 157–174, https://doi.org/10.1175/2010BAMS2946.1, 2011.
Batstone, C., Lawless, M., Tawn, J., Horsburgh, K., Blackman, D., McMillan, A., Worth, D., Laeger, S., and Hunt, T.: A UK best-practice approach for extreme sea-level analysis along complex topographic coastlines, Ocean Eng., 71, 28–39, 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2013.02.003, 2013.
Bidlot, J. R. and Holt, M. W.: Verification of operational global and regional wave forecasting systems against measurements from moored buoys, JCOMM Technical Report, 30, WMO/TD no. 1333, 2006.
Bidlot, J. R., Holmes-Bell, D. J., Wittmann, P. A., Lalbeharry, R., and Chen, H. S.: Intercomparison of the performance of operational ocean wave forecasting systems with buoy data, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Technical Memorandum Number 315 also 2002, Weather Forecast., 17, 287–310, 2000.
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Short summary
The Singapore government commissioned a modelling study of regional projections of changes in (i) long-term mean sea level and (ii) the frequency of extreme storm surge and wave events. We find that changes to long-term mean sea level constitute the dominant signal of change to the projected inundation risk for Singapore during the 21st century, these being 0.52 m(0.74 m) under the RCP 4.5(8.5) scenario.
The Singapore government commissioned a modelling study of regional projections of changes in...
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