Articles | Volume 12, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-12-613-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-12-613-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Research article
| 
02 May 2016
Research article |
| 02 May 2016
Projected sea level rise and changes in extreme storm surge and wave events during the 21st century in the region of Singapore
Heather Cannaby
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
National Oceanography Centre, 6 Brownlow Street, Liverpool, L3 5DA, UK
Matthew D. Palmer
Met Office, Fitz Roy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB, UK
Tom Howard
Met Office, Fitz Roy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB, UK
Lucy Bricheno
National Oceanography Centre, 6 Brownlow Street, Liverpool, L3 5DA, UK
Daley Calvert
Met Office, Fitz Roy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB, UK
Justin Krijnen
Met Office, Fitz Roy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB, UK
Richard Wood
Met Office, Fitz Roy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB, UK
Jonathan Tinker
Met Office, Fitz Roy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB, UK
Chris Bunney
Met Office, Fitz Roy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB, UK
James Harle
National Oceanography Centre, 6 Brownlow Street, Liverpool, L3 5DA, UK
Andrew Saulter
Met Office, Fitz Roy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB, UK
Clare O'Neill
Met Office, Fitz Roy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB, UK
Clare Bellingham
National Oceanography Centre, 6 Brownlow Street, Liverpool, L3 5DA, UK
Jason Lowe
Met Office, Fitz Roy Road, Exeter, Devon, EX1 3PB, UK
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- Improving sea-level projections on the Northwestern European shelf using dynamical downscaling T. Hermans et al. 10.1007/s00382-019-05104-5
- Regional wave model climate projections for coastal impact assessments under a high greenhouse gas emission scenario J. Su et al. 10.3389/fmars.2022.910088
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- Climate Change Projection and Its Impacts on Building Façades in Singapore L. Chew et al. 10.3390/su15043156
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- Towards quantifying uncertainty in ocean heat content changes using synthetic profiles L. Allison et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab2b0b
- Deglacial perspectives of future sea level for Singapore T. Shaw et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-00868-5
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- Projections of 21st century sea level rise for the coast of South Africa L. Allison et al. 10.1088/2515-7620/ac4a90
- Light limitation and coral mortality in urbanised reef communities due to sea-level rise M. Law & D. Huang 10.1016/j.ecochg.2023.100073
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- Use of suction caissons for seawall construction H. Chen et al. 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2022.112632
- Can CGCMs under CMIP5/6 simulate present-day sea level rise in western Maritime Continent? Y. Djamil et al. 10.1088/1755-1315/1350/1/012003
- Contributions to 21st century projections of extreme sea-level change around the UK T. Howard et al. 10.1088/2515-7620/ab42d7
- Human-engineered hydrodynamic regimes as a driver of cryptic microinvertebrate assemblages on urban artificial shorelines E. Heery et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138348
- Maximising resilience to sea-level rise in urban coastal ecosystems through systematic conservation planning N. Nguyen et al. 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2022.104374
- Accreting coral reefs in a highly urbanized environment F. Januchowski-Hartley et al. 10.1007/s00338-020-01953-3
- Dynamical downscaling of unforced interannual sea-level variability in the North-West European shelf seas J. Tinker et al. 10.1007/s00382-020-05378-0
- Future Wave Conditions of Europe, in Response to High‐End Climate Change Scenarios L. Bricheno & J. Wolf 10.1029/2018JC013866
- Evaluating Model Simulations of Twentieth-Century Sea Level Rise. Part I: Global Mean Sea Level Change A. Slangen et al. 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0110.1
- Environmental performance indicators for the urban coastal environment of Singapore L. Chng et al. 10.1016/j.rsma.2021.102101
- Adequacy of the Ocean Observation System for Quantifying Regional Heat and Freshwater Storage and Change M. Palmer et al. 10.3389/fmars.2019.00416
- The Irish Atlantic CoCliME case study configuration, validation and application of a downscaled ROMS ocean climate model off SW Ireland H. Nagy et al. 10.1016/j.hal.2021.102053
- Improving sea-level projections on the Northwestern European shelf using dynamical downscaling T. Hermans et al. 10.1007/s00382-019-05104-5
- Regional wave model climate projections for coastal impact assessments under a high greenhouse gas emission scenario J. Su et al. 10.3389/fmars.2022.910088
- A new framework for rapidly assessing national adaptation policies: an application to small island developing states in the Atlantic and Indian Oceans S. Robinson et al. 10.1007/s10113-021-01855-2
- Exploring the Drivers of Global and Local Sea‐Level Change Over the 21st Century and Beyond M. Palmer et al. 10.1029/2019EF001413
- Sediment trap height affects mass, particle size, and biogeochemical composition of material collected in an equatorial coral reef M. Ng et al. 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2022.114086
- Costal erosion: the future of sandy beaches N. Evelpidou et al. 10.4081/peasa.12
- Marine bioreceptivity among green concretes T. Teong et al. 10.1016/j.ecoleng.2024.107284
- Modelling Salt Intrusion and Estuarine Plumes under Climate Change Scenarios in Two Transitional Ecosystems from the NW Atlantic Coast H. Pereira et al. 10.3390/jmse10020262
- Climate Change Projection and Its Impacts on Building Façades in Singapore L. Chew et al. 10.3390/su15043156
- Extending CMIP5 projections of global mean temperature change and sea level rise due to thermal expansion using a physically-based emulator M. Palmer et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/aad2e4
- Application of coastal hazard index to advance nature based protection for coastal communities in the small islands M. Setiawati et al. 10.1007/s42452-024-06164-x
- Sea-level change in the Dutch Wadden Sea B. Vermeersen et al. 10.1017/njg.2018.7
- Towards quantifying uncertainty in ocean heat content changes using synthetic profiles L. Allison et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ab2b0b
- Deglacial perspectives of future sea level for Singapore T. Shaw et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-00868-5
- Tide–surge interaction observed at Singapore and the east coast of Peninsular Malaysia using a semi-empirical model Z. Koh et al. 10.5194/os-20-1495-2024
- Projections of 21st century sea level rise for the coast of South Africa L. Allison et al. 10.1088/2515-7620/ac4a90
- Light limitation and coral mortality in urbanised reef communities due to sea-level rise M. Law & D. Huang 10.1016/j.ecochg.2023.100073
- Combining probability distributions of sea level variations and wave run-up to evaluate coastal flooding risks U. Leijala et al. 10.5194/nhess-18-2785-2018
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Short summary
The Singapore government commissioned a modelling study of regional projections of changes in (i) long-term mean sea level and (ii) the frequency of extreme storm surge and wave events. We find that changes to long-term mean sea level constitute the dominant signal of change to the projected inundation risk for Singapore during the 21st century, these being 0.52 m(0.74 m) under the RCP 4.5(8.5) scenario.
The Singapore government commissioned a modelling study of regional projections of changes in...
