Articles | Volume 21, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-3241-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-3241-2025
Research article
 | 
02 Dec 2025
Research article |  | 02 Dec 2025

Local and remote climatic drivers of extreme summer sea surface temperatures in the Arabian Gulf

Zouhair Lachkar, Olivier Pauluis, Francesco Paparella, Basit Khan, and John A. Burt

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Cited articles

Al-Rashidi, T. B., El-Gamily, H. I., Amos, C. L., and Rakha, K. A.: Sea surface temperature trends in Kuwait bay, Arabian Gulf, Natural Hazards, 50, 73–82, 2009. a, b, c
Al Senafi, F.: Atmosphere-ocean coupled variability in the arabian/persian gulf, Frontiers in Marine Science, 9, 809355, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2022.809355, 2022. a, b
Amante, C. and Eakins, B. W.: ETOPO1 arc-minute global relief model: procedures, data sources and analysis, NOAA Technical Memorandum NESDIS NGDC-24, National Geophysical Data Center, NOAA, https://doi.org/10.7289/V5C8276M, 2009. a
Ashok, K. and Saji, N.: On the impacts of ENSO and Indian Ocean dipole events on sub-regional Indian summer monsoon rainfall, Natural Hazards, 42, 273–285, 2007. a
Attada, R., Dasari, H. P., Parekh, A., Chowdary, J. S., Langodan, S., Knio, O., and Hoteit, I.: The role of the Indian summer monsoon variability on Arabian Peninsula summer climate, Climate Dynamics, 52, 3389–3404, 2019. a
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An analysis of model and reanalysis data reveals that extreme summer sea surface temperatures in the Arabian/Persian Gulf are driven by weakened local Shamal winds and intensified monsoon winds over the Arabian Sea. These conditions – typically associated with La Niña and a negative North Atlantic Oscillation phase – increase air moisture over the Gulf and enhance surface heat trapping. The findings offer promising prospects for forecasting summer marine heatwaves in the Gulf.
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