Ocean Science
Ocean Science
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Articles | Volume 21, issue 4
Articles | Volume 21, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-1663-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-1663-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 21, issue 4
Research article
 | 
05 Aug 2025
Research article |  | 05 Aug 2025

Indications of improved seasonal sea level forecasts for the United States Gulf Coast and East Coast using ocean dynamic persistence

Xue Feng, Matthew J. Widlansky, Tong Lee, Ou Wang, Magdalena A. Balmaseda, Hao Zuo, Gregory Dusek, William Sweet, and Malte F. Stuecker

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Short summary
Forecasting sea level changes months in advance along the Gulf Coast and East Coast of the United States is challenging. Here, we present a method that uses past ocean states to forecast future sea levels, while assuming no knowledge of how the atmosphere will evolve other than its typical annual cycle near the ocean's surface. Our findings indicate that this method improves sea level outlooks for many locations along the Gulf Coast and East Coast, especially south of Cape Hatteras.
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