Articles | Volume 21, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-1909-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-1909-2025
Research article
 | 
04 Sep 2025
Research article |  | 04 Sep 2025

Far-future climate projection of the Adriatic marine heatwaves: a kilometre-scale experiment under extreme warming

Cléa Denamiel

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Cited articles

Akpinar, A., Yilmaz, E., Fach, B., and Salihoglu, B.: Physical oceanography of the Eastern Mediterranean Sea, in: The Turkish Part of the Mediterranean Sea, edited by: Turan, K., Salihoglu, B., Ozbek, E. O., and Ozturk, B., Turkish Marine Research Foundation, Turkey, 1–14, 2016. 
Beuvier, J., Sevault, F., Herrmann, M., Kontoyiannis, H., Ludwig, W., Rixen, M., Stanev, E., Béranger, K., and Somot, S.: Modeling the Mediterranean Sea interannual variability during 1961–2000: Focus on the Eastern Mediterranean Transient, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 115, C08017, https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JC005950, 2010. 
Bonaldo, D., Carniel, S., Colucci, R. R., Denamiel, C., Pranić, P., Raicich, F., Ricchi, A., Sangelantoni, L., Vilibić, I., and Vitelletti, M. L.: AdriE: a high-resolution ocean model ensemble for the Adriatic Sea under severe climate change conditions, Ocean Sci., 21, 1003–1031, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-1003-2025, 2025. 
Bowman, A. and Azzalini, A.: Applied Smoothing Techniques for Data Analysis: The Kernel Approach with S-Plus Illustrations, Oxford Univ. Press, ISBN 978-0198523963, 1997. 
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Short summary
This study advances our understanding of Adriatic marine heatwaves (MHWs) under historical and far-future extreme warming scenarios, emphasizing the critical role of the Po River plume and Adriatic natural variability in shaping MHW dynamics. While the pseudo-global-warming (PGW) approach used in the study provides valuable insights, future research should adopt more comprehensive modelling frameworks to better capture the complexities of future climate change and its impacts on MHWs.
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