Articles | Volume 19, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-485-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-485-2023
Research article
 | 
21 Apr 2023
Research article |  | 21 Apr 2023

An analogues-based forecasting system for Mediterranean marine-litter concentration

Gabriel Jordà and Javier Soto-Navarro

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Short summary
We develop a forecasting system for marine-litter concentration (MLC) in the Mediterranean based on a simple statistical method. The idea is that similar meteorological situations yield similar MLC patterns. We train our model with a historical meteorological dataset and MLCs from numerical simulations to recognize these situations and patterns and use them to forecast the future MLC. The results are promising; the approach has potential to become a suitable, cost-effective forecasting method.