Articles | Volume 16, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-16-1529-2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-16-1529-2020
Research article
 | 
17 Dec 2020
Research article |  | 17 Dec 2020

Marine climate change over the eastern Agulhas Bank of South Africa

Mark R. Jury

Related authors

Environmental sensitivity of the Caribbean economic growth rate
Mark R. Jury
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 10, 95–104, https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-10-95-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-10-95-2024, 2024
Short summary
Coastal gradients in False Bay, south of Cape Town: what insights can be gained from mesoscale reanalysis?
Mark R. Jury
Ocean Sci., 16, 1545–1557, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-16-1545-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/os-16-1545-2020, 2020
Short summary
Environmental controls on marine productivity near Cape St. Francis, South Africa
Mark R. Jury
Ocean Sci., 15, 1579–1592, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-15-1579-2019,https://doi.org/10.5194/os-15-1579-2019, 2019
Short summary
The climate of desiccation in the SW Cape
Mark R. Jury
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2018-223,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2018-223, 2018
Preprint withdrawn
Short summary

Cited articles

Arblaster, J. M., Meehl, G., and Karoly, D.: Future climate change in the southern hemisphere: Competing effects of ozone and greenhouse gases, Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L02701, https://doi.org/10.1029/2010GL045384, 2011. 
Backeberg, B., Penven, P., and Rouault, M.: Impact of intensified Indian Ocean winds on mesoscale variability in the Agulhas system, Nature Clim. Change, 2, 608–612, 2012. 
Balmaseda, M. A., Mogensena, K., and Weaver, A. T.: Evaluation of the ECMWF ocean reanalysis system ORAS4, Q. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 139, 1132–1161, 2013. 
Carton, J. A., Chepurin, G. A., and Chen, L.: SODA-3: A new ocean climate reanalysis, J. Climate, 31, 6967–6983, 2018. 
Chaudhuri, A. H., Ponte, R. M., Forget, G., and Heimbach, P.: A comparison of atmospheric reanalysis surface products over the ocean and implications for uncertainties in air–sea boundary forcing, J. Climate, 26, 153–170, 2013. 
Download
Short summary
The rate of change in the marine environment along the south coast of South Africa (32–37° S, 20–30° E) is studied using reanalysis observations for 1900–2015 and coupled ensemble model projections for 1980–2100. Although sea surface temperatures offshore are warming rapidly, a trend toward easterly winds and stronger shelf-edge currents have intensified nearshore upwelling (−0.03 °C yr−1) and contribute to a drier climate.