Articles | Volume 15, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-15-401-2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-15-401-2019
Research article
 | 
12 Apr 2019
Research article |  | 12 Apr 2019

A simple predictive model for the eddy propagation trajectory in the northern South China Sea

Jiaxun Li, Guihua Wang, Huijie Xue, and Huizan Wang

Data sets

Global observations of nonlinear mesoscale eddies (http://cioss.coas.oregonstate.edu/eddies/) D. B. Chelton, M. G. Schlax, and R. M. Samelson https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2011.01.002

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Short summary
A novel predictive model is built for eddy propagation trajectory using the multiple linear regression method. This model relates various oceanic parameters to eddy propagation position changes in the northern South China Sea (NSCS). Its performance is examined in the NSCS based on five years of satellite altimeter data, and demonstrates its significant forecasting skills over a 4-week forecast window compared to the traditional persistence method.