Ocean Science
Ocean Science
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Articles | Volume 14, issue 4
Articles | Volume 14, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-14-887-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-14-887-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 14, issue 4
Research article
 | 
27 Aug 2018
Research article |  | 27 Aug 2018

What are the prospects for seasonal prediction of the marine environment of the North-west European Shelf?

Jonathan Tinker, Justin Krijnen, Richard Wood, Rosa Barciela, and Stephen R. Dye

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Short summary
We consider the prospects for seasonal forecasts for the North-west European Shelf (NWS) seas. The recent maturation of global seasonal forecast systems and NWS marine reanalyses provide a basis for such forecasts. We assess the potential of three possible approaches: direct use of global forecast fields and empirical and dynamical downscaling. We conclude that there is potential for NWS seasonal forecasts and as an example show a skillful prototype SST forecast for the English Channel.
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