Articles | Volume 15, issue 3
Ocean Sci., 15, 809–817, 2019
Ocean Sci., 15, 809–817, 2019

Research article 21 Jun 2019

Research article | 21 Jun 2019

Surface predictor of overturning circulation and heat content change in the subpolar North Atlantic

Damien G. Desbruyères et al.

Data sets

CORA, Coriolis Ocean Dataset for Reanalysis T. Szekely, J. Gourrion, S. Pouliquen, and R. Gilles

Reconstructions of the radiation fluxes at top of atmosphere and net surface energy flux in the period 1985-2015 from DEEP-C project C. Liu and R. Allan

Short summary
In the North Atlantic, ocean currents transport warm waters northward in the upper water column, and cold waters southwards at depth. This circulation is here reconstructed from surface data and thermodynamics theory. Its driving role in recent temperature changes (1993–2017) in the North Atlantic is evidenced, and predictions of near-future variability (5 years) are provided and discussed.