the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Multivariate analysis of extreme storm surges in a semi-enclosed bay
Abstract. The prediction of extreme storm surges is a critical task for coastal area protection. This study examines extreme storm surges in Beibu Bay, a semi-enclosed bay in the South China Sea, and their joint probabilities. A method for the advanced prediction of the extreme storm surges is proposed using a multivariate extreme statistical method. We further present practical guidelines of the proposed multivariate analysis method, including guidelines for simulation. The simulation can be extended to multidimensional data to simplify computation, so the proposed approach can be extended to use more points' data from the semi-enclosed bay for predicting extreme storm surges probabilities. A practical case study illustrates the application of the proposed techniques for extreme storm surges prediction. A comparison of the conditional probabilities obtained from observations and simulation data show that the proposed method is effective.
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RC1: 'Review of "Multivariate analysis of extreme storm surges in a semi-enclosed bay".', Anonymous Referee #1, 26 Feb 2017
- AC1: 'Reply to the review.', Luo Yao, 02 Mar 2017
- SC3: 'response', Luo Yao, 21 Mar 2017
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SC1: 'a good example of statistical forecasts of storm surges', Changjin Zhao, 05 Mar 2017
- SC2: 'thanks for your comments', Luo Yao, 21 Mar 2017
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SC5: 'Review of "Multivariate analysis of extreme storm surges in a semi-enclosed bay"', Bo Hong, 22 Mar 2017
- AC3: 'Authors’ response', Luo Yao, 26 Mar 2017
-
EC1: 'Editorial comment', John M. Huthnance, 23 Mar 2017
- AC2: 'Authors’ response', Luo Yao, 26 Mar 2017
- SC6: 'Authors’ response', Luo Yao, 26 Mar 2017
- EC2: 'Editor comment to substitute for 2nd referee', John M. Huthnance, 18 Apr 2017
-
RC1: 'Review of "Multivariate analysis of extreme storm surges in a semi-enclosed bay".', Anonymous Referee #1, 26 Feb 2017
- AC1: 'Reply to the review.', Luo Yao, 02 Mar 2017
- SC3: 'response', Luo Yao, 21 Mar 2017
-
SC1: 'a good example of statistical forecasts of storm surges', Changjin Zhao, 05 Mar 2017
- SC2: 'thanks for your comments', Luo Yao, 21 Mar 2017
-
SC5: 'Review of "Multivariate analysis of extreme storm surges in a semi-enclosed bay"', Bo Hong, 22 Mar 2017
- AC3: 'Authors’ response', Luo Yao, 26 Mar 2017
-
EC1: 'Editorial comment', John M. Huthnance, 23 Mar 2017
- AC2: 'Authors’ response', Luo Yao, 26 Mar 2017
- SC6: 'Authors’ response', Luo Yao, 26 Mar 2017
- EC2: 'Editor comment to substitute for 2nd referee', John M. Huthnance, 18 Apr 2017
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