Status: this preprint was under review for the journal OS but the revision was not accepted.
Influence of climate parameters on long-term variations of the distribution of phytoplankton biomass and nutrient concentration in the Baltic Sea simulated by a 3-D model
L. Dzierzbicka-Głowacka,J. Piskozub,J. Jakacki,M. Janecki,and A. Nowicki
L. Dzierzbicka-Głowacka
Institute of Oceanology Polish Academy of Sciences, ul. Powstancow Warszawy 55, 81-712 Sopot, Poland
J. Piskozub
Institute of Oceanology Polish Academy of Sciences, ul. Powstancow Warszawy 55, 81-712 Sopot, Poland
J. Jakacki
Institute of Oceanology Polish Academy of Sciences, ul. Powstancow Warszawy 55, 81-712 Sopot, Poland
M. Janecki
Institute of Oceanology Polish Academy of Sciences, ul. Powstancow Warszawy 55, 81-712 Sopot, Poland
A. Nowicki
Institute of Oceanology Polish Academy of Sciences, ul. Powstancow Warszawy 55, 81-712 Sopot, Poland
Abstract. Influence of long term trends in the climate parameters (average temperature, wind speed and solar irradiance) on phytoplankton and nutrient in the Baltic Sea was studied with an integrated three-dimensional coupled sea-ice ecological model. Simple ecosystem has been added to the sea-ice model and it has been used to estimate variability of the phytoplankton and nutrient during long term changes of the main atmospheric forces. Several numerical experiments were conducted to test the sensitivity of the model to changes of the main physical parameters such as temperature, wind speed, solar and thermal radiation (in different configurations). Influences of variability of these parameters on phytoplankton and nutrient (total inorganic nitrogen) is presented and discussion on relevance to expected future climate change is provided.
Received: 28 Feb 2011 – Discussion started: 18 Mar 2011