Articles | Volume 21, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-1255-2025
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-1255-2025
Research article
 | 
08 Jul 2025
Research article |  | 08 Jul 2025

Seafloor marine heatwaves outpace surface events in the future on the northwestern European shelf

Robert J. Wilson, Yuri Artioli, Giovanni Galli, James Harle, Jason Holt, Ana M. Queirós, and Sarah Wakelin

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3810', Anonymous Referee #1, 02 Feb 2025
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Robert Wilson, 06 Mar 2025
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-3810', Anonymous Referee #2, 03 Feb 2025
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Robert Wilson, 06 Mar 2025

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
AR by Robert Wilson on behalf of the Authors (06 Mar 2025)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (11 Mar 2025) by Aida Alvera-Azcárate
RR by Anonymous Referee #2 (28 Mar 2025)
ED: Publish as is (02 Apr 2025) by Aida Alvera-Azcárate
AR by Robert Wilson on behalf of the Authors (07 Apr 2025)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
Marine heatwaves are of growing concern around the world. We use a state-of-the-art ensemble of downscaled climate models to project how often heatwaves will occur in the future across northwestern Europe under a high-emission scenario. The projections show that, without emission reductions, heatwaves will occur more than half of the time in the future. We show that the seafloor is expected to experience much more frequent heatwaves than the sea surface in the future.
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