Articles | Volume 19, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-1047-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-1047-2023
Research article
 | 
12 Jul 2023
Research article |  | 12 Jul 2023

Coupled hydrological and hydrodynamic modelling application for climate change impact assessment in the Nemunas river watershed–Curonian Lagoon–southeastern Baltic Sea continuum

Rasa Idzelytė, Natalja Čerkasova, Jovita Mėžinė, Toma Dabulevičienė, Artūras Razinkovas-Baziukas, Ali Ertürk, and Georg Umgiesser

Related authors

Exploring variability in climate change projections on the Nemunas River and Curonian Lagoon: coupled SWAT and SHYFEM modeling approach
Natalja Čerkasova, Jovita Mėžinė, Rasa Idzelytė, Jūratė Lesutienė, Ali Ertürk, and Georg Umgiesser
Ocean Sci., 20, 1123–1147, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-20-1123-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/os-20-1123-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Anthony, A., Atwood, J., August, P., Byron, C., Cobb, S., Foster, C., Fry, C., Gold, A., Hagos, K., Heffner, L., Kellogg, D. Q., Lellis-Dibble, K., Opaluch, J. J., Oviatt, C., Pfeiffer-Herbert, A., Rohr, N., Smith, L., Smythe, T., Swift, J., and Vinhateiro, N.: Coastal Lagoons and Climate Change: Ecological and Social Ramifications in U.S. Atlantic and Gulf Coast Ecosystems, Ecol. Soc., 14, 8, https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-02719-140108, 2009. 
Avotniece, Z., Aniskevich, S., and Malinovskis, E.: Climate Change Scenarios for Latvia, Report summary, Riga, 2017. 
BACC Author Team: Assessment of Climate Change for the Baltic Sea Basin, Springer Berlin Heidelberg, Berlin, Heidelberg, edited by: The BACC Author Team, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-540-72786-6, 2008. 
BACC II Author Team: Second Assessment of Climate Change for the Baltic Sea Basin, edited by: The BACC II Author Team, Springer International Publishing, Cham, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-16006-1, 2015. 
Download
Short summary
This work is focused on the impacts of climate change on a complex water flow system in the southeastern (SE) Baltic Sea, covering the Nemunas river basin and Curonian Lagoon. The results show that lagoon and sea will receive more water coming from the Nemunas. This will lead to a decreased frequency of saltwater inflow to the lagoon, and water will take less time to renew. Water temperatures in the entire lagoon and the SE Baltic Sea will increase steadily, and salinity values will decrease.