Articles | Volume 18, issue 4
Ocean Sci., 18, 1093–1107, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-18-1093-2022
Ocean Sci., 18, 1093–1107, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-18-1093-2022
Research article
27 Jul 2022
Research article | 27 Jul 2022

Attributing decadal climate variability in coastal sea-level trends

Sam Royston et al.

Related authors

Antarctic ice sheet paleo-constraint database
Benoit S. Lecavalier, Lev Tarasov, Greg Balco, Perry Spector, Claus-Dieter Hillenbrand, Christo Buizert, Catherine Ritz, Marion Leduc-Leballeur, Robert Mulvaney, Pippa L. Whitehouse, Michael J. Bentley, and Jonathan Bamber
Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2022-398,https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2022-398, 2022
Preprint under review for ESSD
Short summary
Antarctic Bedmap data: FAIR sharing of 60 years of ice bed, surface and thickness data
Alice C. Frémand, Peter Fretwell, Julien Bodart, Hamish D. Pritchard, Alan Aitken, Jonathan L. Bamber, Robin Bell, Cesido Bianchi, Robert G. Bingham, Donald D. Blankenship, Gino Casassa, Ginny Catania, Knut Christianson, Howard Conway, Hugh F. J. Corr, Xiangbin Cui, Daniel Damaske, Volkmar Damm, Reinhard Drews, Graeme Eagles, Olaf Eisen, Hannes Eisermann, Fausto Ferraccioli, Elena Field, René Forsberg, Steven Franke, Shuji Fujita, Yonggyu Gim, Vikram Goel, Siva Prasad Gogineni, Jamin Greenbaum, Benjamin Hills, Richard C. A. Hindmarsh, Per Holmlund, Nicholas Holschuh, John W. Holt, Angelika Humbert, Robert W. Jacobel, Daniela Jansen, Adrian Jenkins, Wilfried Jokat, Tom Jordan, Edward King, Jack Kohler, William Krabill, Kirsty Langley, Joohan Lee, German Leitchenkov, Carlton Leuschen, Bruce Luyendyk, Joseph MacGregor, Emma MacKie, Kenichi Matsuoka, Mathieu Morlinghem, Jeremie Mouginot, Frank O. Nitsche, Yoshifumi Nogi, Ole A. Nost, John Paden, Frank Pattyn, Sergey V. Popov, Mette Riger-Kusk, Eric Rignot, David M. Rippin, Andres Rivera, Jason Roberts, Neil Ross, Antonia Ruppel, Dustin M. Schroeder, Martin J. Siegert, Andrew M. Smith, Daniel Steinhage, Michael Studinger, Bo Sun, Ignazio Tabacco, Kirsty Tinto, Stefano Urbini, David Vaughan, Brian C. Welch, Douglas S. Wilson, Duncan A. Young, and Achille Zirizzotti
Earth Syst. Sci. Data Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2022-355,https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-2022-355, 2022
Preprint under review for ESSD
Short summary
Grounding line retreat and tide-modulated ocean channels at Moscow University and Totten Glacier ice shelves, East Antarctica
Tian Li, Geoffrey J. Dawson, Stephen J. Chuter, and Jonathan L. Bamber
The Cryosphere Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2022-129,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2022-129, 2022
Revised manuscript under review for TC
Short summary
Mass evolution of the Antarctic Peninsula over the last 2 decades from a joint Bayesian inversion
Stephen J. Chuter, Andrew Zammit-Mangion, Jonathan Rougier, Geoffrey Dawson, and Jonathan L. Bamber
The Cryosphere, 16, 1349–1367, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-1349-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-1349-2022, 2022
Short summary
The instantaneous impact of calving and thinning on the Larsen C Ice Shelf
Tom Mitcham, G. Hilmar Gudmundsson, and Jonathan L. Bamber
The Cryosphere, 16, 883–901, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-883-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-883-2022, 2022
Short summary

Related subject area

Depth range: Surface | Approach: Numerical Models | Geographical range: All Geographic Regions | Properties and processes: Sea level | Challenges: Oceans and climate
Contribution of buoyancy fluxes to tropical Pacific sea level variability
Patrick Wagner, Markus Scheinert, and Claus W. Böning
Ocean Sci., 17, 1103–1113, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-17-1103-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/os-17-1103-2021, 2021
Short summary
The transient sensitivity of sea level rise
Aslak Grinsted and Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen
Ocean Sci., 17, 181–186, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-17-181-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/os-17-181-2021, 2021
Short summary

Cited articles

Adloff, F., Jordà, G., Somot, S., Sevault, F., Arsouze, T., Meyssignac, B., Li, L., and Serge, P.: Improving sea level simulation in Mediterranean regional climate models, Clim. Dynam., 51, 1167–1178, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3842-3, 2018. a
Becker, M., Karpytchev, M., Marcos, M., Jevrejeva, S., and Lennartz-Sassinek, S.: Do climate models reproduce complexity of observed sea level changes?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 5176–5184, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL068971, 2016. a
Bingham, R. J. and Hughes, C. W.: Local diagnostics to estimate density-induced sea level variations over topography and along coastlines, J. Geophys. Res.-Ocean., 117, C01013, https://doi.org/10.1029/2011JC007276, 2012. a
Bos, M. S., Fernandes, R. M. S., Williams, S. D. P., and Bastos, L.: Fast error analysis of continuous GNSS observations with missing data, J. Geodesy, 87, 351–360, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00190-012-0605-0, 2013. a
Carson, M., Köhl, A., and Stammer, D.: The Impact of Regional Multidecadal and Century-Scale Internal Climate Variability on Sea Level Trends in CMIP5 Models, J. Clim., 28, 853–861, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00359.1, 2015. a, b
Download
Short summary
Decadal sea-level variability masks longer-term changes and increases uncertainty in observed trend and acceleration estimates. We use numerical ocean models to determine the magnitude of decadal variability we might expect in sea-level trends at coastal locations around the world, resulting from natural, internal variability. A proportion of that variability can be replicated from known climate modes, giving a range to add to short- to mid-term projections of regional sea-level trends.