Articles | Volume 14, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-14-1057-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-14-1057-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
14 Sep 2018
Research article |
| 14 Sep 2018
| 14 Sep 2018
Radiational tides: their double-counting in storm surge forecasts and contribution to the Highest Astronomical Tide
National Oceanography Centre, Joseph Proudman Building, 6 Brownlow
St, Liverpool, UK
Maialen Irazoqui Apecechea
Deltares, Boussinesqweg 1, Delft, the Netherlands
Andrew Saulter
Met Office, Fitzroy Road, Exeter, UK
Kevin J. Horsburgh
National Oceanography Centre, Joseph Proudman Building, 6 Brownlow
St, Liverpool, UK
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Cited
18 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Large radiational S2 tides in the East China Sea H. Pan et al. 10.1016/j.csr.2024.105179
- Estuarine tidal range dynamics under rising sea levels D. Khojasteh et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0257538
- A two-way coupled wave–current high resolution hindcast for the South China Sea T. Bagnasco et al. 10.1016/j.apor.2025.104672
- Abnormally large radiational S2 tides in the Gulf of Tonkin and implications for other diurnal resonant seas H. Pan et al. 10.1016/j.ecss.2024.108709
- Bluelink ocean forecasting Australia: 15 years of operational ocean service delivery with societal, economic and environmental benefits A. Schiller et al. 10.1080/1755876X.2019.1685834
- Exploring deep learning capabilities for surge predictions in coastal areas T. Tiggeloven et al. 10.1038/s41598-021-96674-0
- Concepts and Terminology for Sea Level: Mean, Variability and Change, Both Local and Global J. Gregory et al. 10.1007/s10712-019-09525-z
- Atmospheric Wind and Pressure-Driven Changes in Tidal Characteristics over the Northwestern European Shelf J. Challis et al. 10.3390/jmse11091701
- Extreme Events and Probability Analysis Along the United States East Coast Based on High Spatial‐Coverage Reconstructed Storm Surges L. Yang et al. 10.1029/2023GL103492
- Preface: Developments in the science and history of tides P. Woodworth et al. 10.5194/os-17-809-2021
- Towards a pan-European coastal flood awareness system: Skill of extreme sea-level forecasts from the Copernicus Marine Service M. Irazoqui Apecechea et al. 10.3389/fmars.2022.1091844
- Evaluation of a global total water level model in the presence of radiational S2 tide P. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.ocemod.2021.101893
- Effects of Global Climate Oscillations on Intermonthly to Interannual Variability of Sea levels along the English Channel Coasts (NW France) I. Turki et al. 10.1016/j.oceano.2020.01.001
- Impact of storm propagation speed on coastal flood hazard induced by offshore storms in the North Sea X. Wei et al. 10.1016/j.ocemod.2019.101472
- Tide-only inundation: a metric to quantify the contribution of tides to coastal inundation under sea-level rise B. Hague & A. Taylor 10.1007/s11069-021-04600-4
- A nonstationary analysis for investigating the multiscale variability of extreme surges: case of the English Channel coasts I. Turki et al. 10.5194/nhess-20-3225-2020
- Seasonal sea level forecasts for the Australian coast R. Holmes et al. 10.1071/ES24047
- Global modeling of tropical cyclone storm surges using high-resolution forecasts N. Bloemendaal et al. 10.1007/s00382-018-4430-x
17 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Large radiational S2 tides in the East China Sea H. Pan et al. 10.1016/j.csr.2024.105179
- Estuarine tidal range dynamics under rising sea levels D. Khojasteh et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0257538
- A two-way coupled wave–current high resolution hindcast for the South China Sea T. Bagnasco et al. 10.1016/j.apor.2025.104672
- Abnormally large radiational S2 tides in the Gulf of Tonkin and implications for other diurnal resonant seas H. Pan et al. 10.1016/j.ecss.2024.108709
- Bluelink ocean forecasting Australia: 15 years of operational ocean service delivery with societal, economic and environmental benefits A. Schiller et al. 10.1080/1755876X.2019.1685834
- Exploring deep learning capabilities for surge predictions in coastal areas T. Tiggeloven et al. 10.1038/s41598-021-96674-0
- Concepts and Terminology for Sea Level: Mean, Variability and Change, Both Local and Global J. Gregory et al. 10.1007/s10712-019-09525-z
- Atmospheric Wind and Pressure-Driven Changes in Tidal Characteristics over the Northwestern European Shelf J. Challis et al. 10.3390/jmse11091701
- Extreme Events and Probability Analysis Along the United States East Coast Based on High Spatial‐Coverage Reconstructed Storm Surges L. Yang et al. 10.1029/2023GL103492
- Preface: Developments in the science and history of tides P. Woodworth et al. 10.5194/os-17-809-2021
- Towards a pan-European coastal flood awareness system: Skill of extreme sea-level forecasts from the Copernicus Marine Service M. Irazoqui Apecechea et al. 10.3389/fmars.2022.1091844
- Evaluation of a global total water level model in the presence of radiational S2 tide P. Wang et al. 10.1016/j.ocemod.2021.101893
- Effects of Global Climate Oscillations on Intermonthly to Interannual Variability of Sea levels along the English Channel Coasts (NW France) I. Turki et al. 10.1016/j.oceano.2020.01.001
- Impact of storm propagation speed on coastal flood hazard induced by offshore storms in the North Sea X. Wei et al. 10.1016/j.ocemod.2019.101472
- Tide-only inundation: a metric to quantify the contribution of tides to coastal inundation under sea-level rise B. Hague & A. Taylor 10.1007/s11069-021-04600-4
- A nonstationary analysis for investigating the multiscale variability of extreme surges: case of the English Channel coasts I. Turki et al. 10.5194/nhess-20-3225-2020
- Seasonal sea level forecasts for the Australian coast R. Holmes et al. 10.1071/ES24047
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 13 Jul 2025
Short summary
Tide predictions based on tide-gauge observations are not just astronomical tides; they also contain periodic sea level changes due to the weather. Forecasts of total water level during storm surges add the immediate effects of the weather to the astronomical tide prediction and thus risk double-counting these effects. We use a global model to see how much double-counting may affect these forecasts and also how much of the Highest Astronomical Tide may be due to recurrent weather patterns.
Tide predictions based on tide-gauge observations are not just astronomical tides; they also...
