the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Multivariate extreme value analysis of storm surges in SCS on peak over threshold method
Y. Luo
D. Sui
H. Shi
Z. Zhou
D. Wang
Abstract. We use a novel statistical approach-MGPD to analyze the joint probability distribution of storm surge events at two sites and present a warning method for storm surges at two adjacent positions in Beibu Gulf, using the sufficiently long field data on surge levels at two sites. The methodology also develops the procedure of application of MGPD, which includes joint threshold and Monte Carlo simulation, to handle multivariate extreme values analysis. By comparing the simulation result with analytic solution, it is shown that the relative error of the Monte Carlo simulation is less than 8.6 %. By running MGPD model based on long data at Beihai and Dongfang, the simulated potential surge results can be employed in storm surge warnings of Beihai and joint extreme water level predictions of two sites.
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Y. Luo et al.


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RC C1490: 'Review for "Multivariate extreme value analysis of storm surges in SCS on peak over threshold method". \\ (Paper \#MS No.: os-2015-92 to Ocean Science.) \\ Authors: LUO. Yao et al.', Anonymous Referee #1, 26 Jan 2016
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AC C1673: 'Thanks for your reading and suggestion.', Luo Yao, 10 Mar 2016
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AC C1673: 'Thanks for your reading and suggestion.', Luo Yao, 10 Mar 2016
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RC C1634: 'Review', Anonymous Referee #2, 16 Feb 2016
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AC C1672: 'Thanks for your reading and suggestion.', Luo Yao, 10 Mar 2016
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AC C1672: 'Thanks for your reading and suggestion.', Luo Yao, 10 Mar 2016


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RC C1490: 'Review for "Multivariate extreme value analysis of storm surges in SCS on peak over threshold method". \\ (Paper \#MS No.: os-2015-92 to Ocean Science.) \\ Authors: LUO. Yao et al.', Anonymous Referee #1, 26 Jan 2016
-
AC C1673: 'Thanks for your reading and suggestion.', Luo Yao, 10 Mar 2016
-
AC C1673: 'Thanks for your reading and suggestion.', Luo Yao, 10 Mar 2016
-
RC C1634: 'Review', Anonymous Referee #2, 16 Feb 2016
-
AC C1672: 'Thanks for your reading and suggestion.', Luo Yao, 10 Mar 2016
-
AC C1672: 'Thanks for your reading and suggestion.', Luo Yao, 10 Mar 2016
Y. Luo et al.
Y. Luo et al.
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