Articles | Volume 19, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-57-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-57-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
River effects on sea-level rise in the Río de la Plata estuary during the past century
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, Massachusetts, USA
Cited articles
Acha, E. M., Mianzan, H., Guerrero, R., Carreto, J., Giberto, D., Montoya, N., and Carignan, M.: An overview of physical and ecological processes in the Rio de la Plata Estuary, Cont. Shelf Res., 28, 1579–1588, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csr.2007.01.031, 2018.
Adcroft, A., Campin, J.-M., Dutkiewicz, S., Constantinos, E., Ferreira, D., Forget, G., Fox-Kemper, B., Heimbach, P., Hill, C., Hill, E., Hill, H., Jahn, O., Losch, M., Marshall, J., Maze, G., Menemenlis, D., and Molod, A.: MITgcm user manual, 485 pp., http://hdl.handle.net/1721.1/117188 (last access: 16 January 2023), 2018.
Adcroft, A., Anderson, W., Balaji, V., Blanton, C., Bushuk, M., Dufour, C. O., Dunne, J. P., Griffies, S. M., Hallberg, R., Harrison, M. J., Held, I. M., Jansen, M. F., John, J. G., Krasting, J. P., Langenhorst, A. R., Legg, S., Liang, Z., McHugh, C., Radhakrishnan, A., Reichl, B. G., Rosati, T., Samuels, B. L., Shao, A., Stouffer, R., Winton, M., Wittenberg, A. T., Xiang, B., and Zhang, R.: The GFDL global ocean and sea ice model OM4.0: Model description and simulation features, J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., 11, 3167–3211, https://doi.org/10.1029/2019MS001726, 2019.
Angulo, R. J., Giannini, P. C. F., Suguio, K., and Pessendam, L. C. R.: Relative sea-level changes in the last 5500 years in southern Brazil (Laguna-Imbituba region, Santa Catarina State) based on vermetid 14C ages, Mar. Geol., 159, 323–339, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0025-3227(98)00204-7, 1999.
Ashe, E. L., Cahill, N., Hay, C., Khan, N. S., Kemp, A., Engelhart, S. E., Horton, B. P., Parnell, A. C., and Kopp, R. E.: Statistical modeling of rates and trends in Holocene relative sea level, Quaternary Sci. Rev., 204, 58–77, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2018.10.032, 2019.
Aubrey, D. G., Emery, K. O., and Uchupi, E.: Changing coastal levels of South America and the Caribbean region from tide-gauge records, Tectonophysics, 154, 269–284, https://doi.org/10.1016/0040-1951(88)90108-4, 1988.
Berri, G. J., Ghietto, M. A., and García, N. O.: The Influence of ENSO in the flows of the upper Paraná River of South America over the past 100 years, J. Hydrometeorol., 3, 57–65, https://doi.org/10.1175/1525-7541(2002)003<0057:TIOEIT>2.0.CO;2, 2002.
Birol, F., Fuller, N., Lyard, F., Cancet, M., Niño, F., Delebecque, C., Fleury, S., Toublanc, F., Melet, A., Saraceno, M., and Léger, F.: Coastal applications from nadir altimetry: Example of the X-TRACK regional products, Adv. Space Res., 59, 936–953, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.asr.2016.11.005, 2017 (data available at http://ctoh.legos.obs-mip.fr/, last access: 17 January 2023).
Brandani, A. A., D'Onofrio, E. E., and Schnack, E. J.: Comparative analysis of historical mean sea level changes along the Argentine coast, in: Quaternary of South America and Antarctic Peninsula, edited by: Rabassa, J., Balkema, Rotterdam, 187–195, ISBN: 9789061917847, 1985.
Cahill, N., Kemp, A. C., Horton, B. P., and Parnell, A. C.: Modeling sea-level change using errors-in-variables integrated Gaussian processes, Ann. Appl. Stat., 9, 547–571, https://doi.org/10.1214/15-AOAS824, 2015.
Cahill, N., Kemp, A. C., Horton, B. P., and Parnell, A. C.: A Bayesian hierarchical model for reconstructing relative sea level: from raw data to rates of change, Clim. Past, 12, 525–542, https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-12-525-2016, 2016.
Cardoso, A. O., and Silva Dias, P. L.: The relationship between ENSO and Paraná River flow, Adv. Geosci., 6, 189–193, https://doi.org/10.5194/adgeo-6-189-2006, 2006.
Caron, L., Ivins, E. R., Larour, E., Adhikari, S., Nilsson, J., and Blewitt, G.: GIA model statistics for GRACE hydrology, cryosphere, and ocean science, Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 2203–2212, https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL076644, 2018.
Chapman, D. C., and Lentz, S. J.: Trapping of a coastal density front by the bottom boundary layer, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 24, 1464–1479, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0485(1994)024<1464:TOACDF>2.0.CO;2, 1994.
Church, J. A., and White, N. J.: Sea-level rise from the late 19th to the early 21st century, Surv. Geophys., 32, 585–602, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-011-9119-1, 2011.
D'Onofrio, E. E., Fiore, M. M. E., and Pousa, J. L.: Changes in the regime of storm surges at Buenos Aires, Argentina, J. Coast. Res., 24, 260–265, https://doi.org/10.2112/05-0588.1, 2008.
Dai, A.: Historical and future changes in streamflow and continental runoff: a review, in: Terrestrial Water Cycle and Climate Change: Natural and Human-Induced Impacts, edited by: Tang, Q. and Oki, T., American Geophysical Union, Washington, DC, 17–37, ISBN: 978-1-118-97176-5, 2016.
Dai, A. and Trenberth, K. E.: Estimates of freshwater discharge from continents: latitudinal and seasonal variations, J. Hydrometeorol., 3, 660–687, https://doi.org/10.1175/1525-7541(2002)003<0660:EOFDFC>2.0.CO;2, 2002.
Dai, A., Qian, T., Trenberth, K. E., and Milliman, J. D.: Changes in continental freshwater discharge from 1948 to 2004, J. Clim., 22, 2773–2792, https://doi.org/10.1175/2008JCLI2592.1, 2009.
Dangendorf, S., Marcos, M., Wöppelmann, G., Conrad, C. P., Frederikse, T., and Riva, R.: Reassessment of 20th century global mean sea level rise, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 114, 5946–5951, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1616007114, 2017.
Dennis, K. C., Schnack, E. J., Mouzo, F. H., and Orona, C. R.: Sea-level rise and Argentina: potential impacts and consequences, J. Coast. Res., 14, 205–223, https://www.jstor.org/stable/25735709 (last access: 16 January 2023), 1995.
Depetris, P. J., Kempe, S., Latif, M., and Mook, W. G.: ENSO-controlled flooding in the Paraná River (1904–1991), Naturwissenschaften, 83, 127–129, https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01142177, 1996.
Devineni, N., Lall, U., Pederson, N., and Cook, E.: A tree-ring-based reconstruction of Delaware River Basin streamflow using hierarchical Bayesian regression, J. Clim., 26, 4357–4374, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00675.1, 2013.
Do, H. X., Gudmundsson, L., Leonard, M., and Westra, S.: The global streamflow indices and metadata archive (GSIM) – Part 1: the production of a daily streamflow archive and metadata, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 10, 765–785, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-10-765-2018, 2018.
Douglas, B. C.: Global sea level rise: a redetermination, Surv. Geophys., 18, 279–292, https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1006544227856, 1997.
Douglas, B. C.: Sea level change in the era of the recording tide gauge, in: Sea Level Rise: History and Consequences, edited by: Douglas, B. C., Kearney, M. S., and Leatherman, S. P., International Geophysics Series, Vol. 75, Academic Press, San Diego, 37–64, ISBN-10: 012391146X, 2001.
Douglas, B. C.: Concerning evidence for fingerprints of glacial melting, J. Coast. Res., 24, 218–227, https://doi.org/10.2112/06-0748.1, 2008.
Durand, F., Piecuch, C. G., Becker, M., Papa, F., Raju, S. V., Khan, J. U., and Ponte, R. M.: Impact of coastal freshwater runoff on coastal sea level, Surv. Geophys., 40, 1437–1466, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-019-09536-w, 2019.
Dyer, K. R.: Estuaries: A Physical Introduction, Wiley, Chichester, 210 pp., ISBN: 978-0-471-97471-0, 1997.
Emery, K. O. and Aubrey, D. G.: Sea Levels, Land Levels, and Tide Gauges, Springer-Verlag, New York, 238 pp., ISBN-10: 1461391032, 1991.
Fiore, M. M. E., D'Onofrio, E. E., Pousa, J. L., Schnack, E. J., and Bértola, G. R.: Storm surges and coastal impacts at Mar del Plata, Argentina, Cont. Shelf Res., 29, 1643–1649, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csr.2009.05.004, 2009.
Frederikse, T., Jevrejeva, S., Riva, R. E. M., and Dangendorf, S.: A consistent sea-level reconstruction and its budget on basin and global scales over 1958–2014, J. Clim., 31, 1267–1280, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0502.1, 2018.
Frederikse, T., Landerer, F., Caron, L., Adhikari, S., Parkes, D., Humphrey, V. W., Dangendorf, S., Hogarth, P., Zanna, L., Cheng, L., and Wu, Y.-H.: The causes of sea-level rise since 1900, Nature, 584, 393–397, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2591-3, 2020.
Frederikse, T., Adhikari, S., Daley, T. J., Dangendorf, S., Gehrels, R., Landerer, F., Marcos, M., Newton, T. L., Rush, G., Slangen, A. B. A., and Wöppelmann, G.: Constraining 20th-century sea-level rise in the South Atlantic Ocean, J. Geophys. Res.-Ocean., 126, e2020JC016970, https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JC016970, 2021.
GEBCO Compilation Group: The GEBCO_2021 Grid – a continuous terrain model of the global oceans and land, NERC EDS British Oceanographic Data Centre NOC [data set], https://doi.org/10.5285/c6612cbe-50b3-0cff-e053-6c86abc09f8f, 2021.
Gelman, A., Carlin, J. B., Stern, H. S., Dunson, D. B., Vehtari, A., and Rubin, D. B.: Bayesian Data Analysis, Third Edition, Texts in Statistical Science, Chapman and Hall/CRC, Boca Raton, 675 pp., ISBN-10: 1439840954, 2013.
Gerlach, M. J., Engelhart, S. E., Kemp, A. C., Moyer, R. P., Smoak, J. M., Bernhardt, C. E., and Cahill, N.: Reconstructing Common Era relative sea-level change on the Gulf Coast of Florida, Mar. Geol., 390, 254–269, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.margeo.2017.07.001, 2017.
Gill, A. E.: Atmosphere-Ocean Dynamics. International Geophysics Series, Vol. 30, Academic Press, San Diego, 680 pp., ISBN-10: 0122835220, 1982.
Gregory, J. M., Griffies, S. M., Hughes, C. W., Lowe, J. A., Church, J. A., Fukumori, I., Gomez, N., Kopp, R. E., Landerer, F., Le Cozannet, G., Ponte, R. M., Stammer, D., Tamisiea, M. E., and van de Wal, R. S. W.: Concepts and terminology for sea level: mean, variability and change, both local and global, Surv. Geophys., 40, 1251–1289, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-019-09525-z, 2019.
Grimm, A. M., Ferraz, S. E. T., and Gomes, J.: Precipitation anomalies in southern Brazil associated with El Niño and La Niña events, J. Clim., 11, 2863–2880, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1998)011<2863:PAISBA>2.0.CO;2, 1998.
Grinsted, A., Moore, J. C., and Jevrejeva, S.: Application of the cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence to geophysical time series, Nonlinear Proc. Geoph., 11, 561–566, https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-11-561-2004, 2004 (data available at http://grinsted.github.io/wavelet-coherence/, last access: 17 January 2023).
Gudmundsson, L., Do, H. X., Leonard, M., and Westra, S.: The global streamflow indices and metadata archive (GSIM) – Part 2: quality control, tim-series indices and homogeneity assessment, Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 10, 787–804, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-10-787-2018, 2018a.
Gudmundsson, L., Do, H. X., Leonard, M., and Westra, S.: The Global Streamflow Indices and Metadata Archive (GSIM) – Part 2: Time Series Indices and Homogeneity Assessment, PANGAEA [data set], https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.887470, 2018b.
Guerrero, R. A., Acha, E. M., Framiñan, M. B., and Lasta, C. A.: Physical oceanography of the Rió de la Plata estuary, Argentina, Cont. Shelf Res., 17, 727–742, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0278-4343(96)00061-1, 1997.
Haarsma, R. J., Roberts, M. J., Vidale, P. L., Senior, C. A., Bellucci, A., Bao, Q., Chang, P., Corti, S., Fuckar, N. S., Guemas, V., von Hardenberg, J., Hazeleger, W., Kodama, C., Koenigk, T., Leung, L. R., Lu, J., Luo, J.-J., Mao, J., Mizielinski, M. S., Mizuta, R., Nobre, P., Satoh, M., Scoccimarro, E., Semmler, T., Small, J., and von Storch, J.-S.: High Resolution Model Intercomparison Project (HighResMip v1.0) for CMIP6, Geosci. Model Dev., 9, 4185–4209, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-4185-2016, 2016.
Hamlington, B. D. and Thompson, P. R.: Considerations for estimating the 20th century trend in global mean sea level, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 4102–4109, https://doi.org/10.1002/2015GL064177, 2015.
Hay, C. C., Morrow, E., Kopp, R. E., and Mitrovica, J. X.: Probabilistic reanalysis of twentieth-century sea-level rise, Nature, 517, 481–484, https://doi.org/10.1038/nature14093, 2015.
Hogarth, P.: Preliminary analysis of acceleration of sea level rise through the twentieth century using extended tide gauge data sets (August 2014), J. Geophys. Res.-Ocean., 119, 7645–7659, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JC009976, 2014.
Holgate, S. J., Matthews, A., Woodworth, P. L., Rickards, L. J., Tamisiea, M. E., Bradshaw, E., Foden, P. R., Gordon, K. M., Jevrejeva, S., and Pugh, J.: New data systems and products at the Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level, J. Coast. Res., 29, 493–504, https://doi.org/10.2112/JCOASTRES-D-12-00175.1, 2013 (data avaialable at: https://www.psmsl.org/, last access: 17 January 2023).
Holt, J., Hyder, P., Ashworth, M., Harle, J., Hewitt, H. T., Liu, H., New, A. L., Pickles, S., Porter, A., Popova, E., Allen, J. I., Siddorn, J., and Wood, R.: Prospects for improving the representation of coastal and shelf seas in global ocean models, Geosci. Model Dev., 10, 499–523, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-10-499-2017, 2017.
Horton, B. P., Kopp, R. E., Garner, A. J., Hay, C. C., Khan, N. S., Roy, K., and Shaw, T. A.: Mapping sea-level change in time, space, and probability, Annu. Rev. Env. Resour., 43, 481–521, https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-environ-102017-025826, 2018.
Isla, F. I.: ENSO-dominated estuaries of Buenos Aires: the interannual transfer of water from western to eastern South America, Glob. Planet. Change, 64, 69–75, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2008.09.002, 2008.
Jevrejeva, S., Moore, J. C., Grinsted, A., Matthews, A. P., and Spada, G.: Trends and acceleration in global and regional sea levels since 1807, Glob. Planet. Change, 113, 11–22, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2013.12.004, 2014.
Kemp, A. C., Horton, B. P., Culver, S. J., Corbett, D. R., van de Plassche, O., Gehrels, W. R., Douglas, B. C., and Parnell, A. C.: Timing and magnitude of recent accelerated sea-level rise (North Carolina, United States), Geology, 37, 1035–1038, https://doi.org/10.1130/G30352A.1, 2009.
Kemp, A. C., Wright, A. J., Edwards, R. J., Barnett, R. L., Brain, M. J., Kopp, R. E., Cahill, N., Horton, B. P., Charman, D. J., Hawkes, A. D., Hill, T. D., and van de Plassche, O.: Relative sea-level change in Newfoundland, Canada during the past ∼3000 years, Quaternary Sci. Rev., 201, 89–110, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2018.10.012, 2018.
Khan, N. S., Horton, B. P., Engelhart, S., Rovere, A., Vacchi, M., Ashe, E. L., Törnqvist, T. E., Dutton, A., Hijma, M. P., Shennan, I., and the HOLSEA working group: Inception of a global atlas of sea levels since the Last Glacial Maximum, Quaternary Sci. Rev., 220, 359–371, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2019.07.016, 2019.
Kopp, R. E., Hay, C. C., Little, C. M., and Mitrovica, J. X.: Geographic variability of sea-level change, Curr. Clim. Change Rep., 1, 192–204, https://doi.org/10.1007/s40641-015-0015-5, 2015.
Laborel, J.: Vermetid gastropods as sea-level indicators, in: Sea-level research: a manual for the collection and evaluation of data, edited by: van de Plassche, O., Free University, Amsterdam, Netherlands, pp. 281–310, 1986.
Lanfredi, N. W., D'Onofrio, E. E., and Mazio, C. A.: Variations of the mean sea level in the southwest Atlantic Ocean, Cont. Shelf Res., 8, 1211–1220, https://doi.org/10.1016/0278-4343(88)90002-7, 1988.
Lanfredi, N. W., Pousa, J. L., and D'Onofrio, E. E.: Sea-level rise and related potential hazards on the Argentine coast, J. Coast. Res., 14, 47–60, https://www.jstor.org/stable/4298761 (last access: 16 January 2023), 1998.
Lawrence, D. and Vandecar, K.: Effects of tropical deforestation on climate and agriculture, Nat. Clim. Change, 5, 27–36, https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2430, 2015.
Lentz, S. J. and Helfrich, K. R.: Buoyant gravity currents along a sloping bottom in a rotating fluid, J. Fluid Mech., 464, 251–278, https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022112002008868, 2002.
Lisitzin, E.: Sea-Level Changes, Elsevier Oceanography Series, 8, Elsevier, Amsterdam, 286 pp., ISBN-10: 0444552871, 1974.
Margolis, E. Q., Meko, D. M., and Touchan, R.: A tree-ring reconstruction of streamflow in the Santa Fe River, New Mexico, J. Hydrol., 397, 118–127, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.11.042, 2011.
Meccia, V. L., Simionato, C. G., Fiore, M. E., D'Onofrio, E. E., and Dragani, W. C.: Sea surface height variability in the Rio de la Plata estuary from synoptic to inter-annual scales: results of numerical simulations, Estuar. Coast. Shelf Sci., 85, 327–343, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2009.08.024, 2009.
Medvigy, D., Walko, R. L., and Avissar, R.: Effects of deforestation on spatiotemporal distributions of precipitation in South America, J. Clim., 24, 2147–2163, https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JCLI3882.1, 2011.
Melini, D., Piersanti, A., Spada, G., Soldati, G., Casarotti, E., and Boschi, E.: Earthquakes and relative sealevel changes, Geophys. Res. Lett., 31, L09601, https://doi.org/10.1029/2003GL019347, 2004.
Milne, G. A., Long, A. J., and Bassett, S. E.: Modelling Holocene relative sea-level observatoins from the Caribbean and South America, Quaternary Sci. Rev., 24, 1183–1202, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2004.10.005, 2005.
Mitrovica, J. X. and Milne, G. A.: On the origin of late Holocene sea-level highstands within equatorial ocean basins, Quaternary Sci. Rev., 21, 2179–2190, https://doi.org/10.1016/S0277-3791(02)00080-X, 2002.
Moreira, D. and Simionato, C.: The Río de la Plata estuary hydrology and circulation, Meteorologica, 44, 1–30, 2019.
Natarov, S. I., Merrifield, M. A., Becker, J. M., and Thompson, P. R.: Regional influences on reconstructed global mean sea level, Geophys. Res. Lett., 44, 3274–3282, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL071523, 2017.
O'Connor, W. P.: A numerical model of tides and storm surges in the Rio de la Plata Estuary, Cont. Shelf Res., 11, 1491–1508, https://doi.org/10.1016/0278-4343(91)90023-Y, 1991.
Papadopoulous, A. and Tsimplis, M. N.: Coherent coastal sea-level variability at interdecadal and interannual scales from tide gauges, J. Coast. Res., 22, 625–639, https://doi.org/10.2112/04-0156.1, 2006.
Peltier, W. R.: Global glacial isostasy and the surface of the ice-age Earth: the ICE-5G (VM2) model and GRACE, Annu. Rev. Earth Pl. Sc., 32, 111–149, https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.earth.32.082503.144359, 2004.
PSMSL (Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level): Tide gauge data, http://www.psmsl.org/data/obtaining/ (last access: 16 January 2023), 2022.
Piecuch, C. G., Bittermann, K., Kemp, A. C., Ponte, R. M., Little, C. M., Engelhart, S. E., and Lentz, S. J.: River-discharge effects on United States Atlantic and Gulf coast sea-level changes, P. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA, 115, 7729–7734, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1805428115, 2018a.
Piecuch, C. G., Huybers, P., Hay, C. C., Kemp, A. C., Little, C. M., Mitrovica, J. X., Ponte, R. M., and Tingley, M. P.: Origin of spatial variation in US East Coast sea-level trends during 1900–2017, Nature, 564, 400–404, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0787-6, 2018b.
Piedra-Cueva, I. and Fossati, M.: Residual currents and corridor of flow in the Rio de la Plata, Appl. Mathemat. Model., 31, 564–577, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2005.11.033, 2007.
Piola, A. R., Matano, R. P., Palma, E. D., Möller, O. O., and Campos, E. J. D.: The influence of the Plata River discharge on the western South Atlantic shelf, Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L01603, https://doi.org/10.1029/2004GL021638, 2005.
Pousa, J., Tosi, L., Kruse, E., Guaraglia, D., Bonardi, M., Mazzoldi, A., Rizzetto, F., and Schnack, E.: Coastal processes and environmental hazards: the Buenos Aires (Argentina) and Venetian (Italy) littorals, Environ. Geol., 51, 1307–1316, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00254-006-0424-9, 2007.
Raicich, F.: A review of sea level observations and low frequency sea-level variability in the South Atlantic, Phys. Chem. Earth, 33, 239–249, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pce.2007.04.001, 2008.
Ray, R. D. and Douglas, B. C.: Experiments in reconstructing twentieth-century sea levels, Prog. Oceanogr., 91, 496–515, https://10.1016/j.pocean.2011.07.021, 2011.
Rayner, N. A., Parker, D. E., Horton, E. B., Folland, C. K., Alexander, L. V., Rowell, D. P., Kent, E. C., and Kaplan, A.: Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century, J. Geophys. Res., 108, 447, https://doi.org/10.1029/2002JD002670, 2003.
Robertson, A. W. and Mechoso, C. R.: Interannual and decadal cycles in river flows of southeastern South America, J. Clim., 11, 2570–2581, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0442(1998)011<2570:IADCIR>2.0.CO;2, 1998.
Ropelewski, C. F. and Halpert, M. S.: Global and regional scale precipitation patterns associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation, Mon. Weather Rev., 115, 1606–1626, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0493(1987)115<1606:GARSPP>2.0.CO;2, 1987.
Santamaria-Aguilar, S., Schuerch, M., Vafeidis, A. T., and Carretero, S. C.: Long-term trends and variability of water levels and tides in Buenos Aires and Mar del Plata, Argentina, Front. Mar. Sci., 4, 1–15, https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2017.00380, 2017.
Talke, S. A., Kemp, A. C., and Woodruff, J.: Relative sea level, tides, and extreme water levels in Boston harbor from 1825 to 2018, J. Geophys. Res.-Ocean., 123, 3895–3914, https://doi.org/10.1029/2017JC013645, 2018.
Theiler, J., Eubank, S., Longtin, A., Galdrikian, B., and Farmer, J. D.: Testing for nonlinearity in time series: the method of surrogate data, Physica D, 58, 77–94, https://doi.org/10.1016/0167-2789(92)90102-S, 1992.
Thompson, P. R. and Merrifield, M. A.: A unique asymmetry in the pattern of recent sea level change, Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 7675–7683, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014GL061263, 2014.
Thompson, P. R., Hamlington, B. D., Landerer, F. W., and Adhikari, S.: Are long tide gauge records in the wrong place to measure global mean sea level rise?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 10403–10411, https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL070552, 2016.
Tsujino, H., Urakawa, S., Nakano, H., Small, R. J., Kim, W. M., Yeager, S. G., Danabasoglu, G., Suzuki, T., Bamber, J. L., Bentsen, M., Böning, C. W., Bozec, A., Chassignet, E. P., Curchitser, E., Dias, F. B., Durack, P. J., Griffies, S. M., Harada, Y., Ilicak, M., Josey, S. A., Kobayashi, C., Kobayashi, S., Komuro, Y., Large, W. G., Le Sommer, J., Marsland, S. J., Masina, S., Scheinert, M., Tomita, H., Valdivieso, M., and Yamazaki, D.: JRA-55 based surface dataset for driving ocean–sea-ice models (JRA55-do), Ocean Model., 130, 79–139, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocemod.2018.07.002, 2018.
Verocai, J. E., Nagy, G. J., and Bidegain, M.: Sea-level trends along freshwater and seawater mixing in the Uruguayan Rio de la Plata estuary and Atlantic Ocean coast, Int. J. Mar. Sci., 6, 1–18, https://doi.org/10.5376/ijms.2016.06.0007, 2016.
Walker, J. S., Cahill, N., Khan, N. S., Shaw, T. A., Barber, D., Miller, K. G., Kopp, R. E., and Horton, B. P.: Incorporating temporal and spatial variability of salt-marsh foraminifera into sea-level reconstructions, Mar. Geol., 429, 106293, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.margeo.2020.106293, 2020.
Wikle, C. K. and Berliner, L. M.: A Bayesian tutorial for data assimilation, Physica D, 230, 1–16, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physd.2006.09.017, 2007.
Woodworth, P. L., Pouvreau, N., and Wöppelmann, G.: The gyre-scale circulation of the North Atlantic and sea level at Brest, Ocean Sci., 6, 185–190, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-6-185-2010, 2010.
Woodworth, P. L., Melet, A., Marcos, M., Ray, R. D., Wöppelmann, G., Sasaki, Y. N., Cirano, M., Hibbert, A., Huthnance, J. M., Monserrat, S., and Merrifield, M. A.: Forcing factors affecting sea level changes at the coast, Surv. Geophys., 40, 1351–1397, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-019-09531-1, 2019.
Yankovsky, A. E. and Chapman, D. C.: A simple theory for the fate of buoyant coastal discharges, J. Phys. Oceanogr., 27, 1386–1401, https://doi.org/10.1175/1520-0485(1997)027<1386:ASTFTF>2.0.CO;2, 1997.
Short summary
I use observations to establish that changing river flows were an important contributor to coastal sea-level changes in the Río de la Plata of South America during the past century.
I use observations to establish that changing river flows were an important contributor to...