Articles | Volume 14, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-14-1435-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-14-1435-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
20 Nov 2018
Research article |
| 20 Nov 2018
| 20 Nov 2018
Better Baltic Sea wave forecasts: improving resolution or introducing ensembles?
Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark
Jacob Woge Nielsen
Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark
Till Andreas Soya Rasmussen
Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark
Henrik Feddersen
Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark
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Short summary
Using the Baltic Sea as an example, the benefit of increased wave model resolution as opposed to ensemble forecasting is examined, on the premise that the extra computational effort tends to be of the same order of magnitude in both cases. For offshore waters, an ensemble mean is shown to outperform high-resolution modeling. However, for nearshore or shallow waters, where fine-scale depth or coastal features gain importance, this is not necessarily found to be the case.
Using the Baltic Sea as an example, the benefit of increased wave model resolution as opposed to...
