Articles | Volume 10, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-10-701-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-10-701-2014
© Author(s) 2014. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Weighing the ocean with bottom-pressure sensors: robustness of the ocean mass annual cycle estimate
Joanne Williams
National Oceanography Centre, Joseph Proudman Building, 6 Brownlow St, Liverpool L3 5DA, UK
C. W. Hughes
National Oceanography Centre, Joseph Proudman Building, 6 Brownlow St, Liverpool L3 5DA, UK
School of Environmental Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool L69 3GP, UK
M. E. Tamisiea
National Oceanography Centre, Joseph Proudman Building, 6 Brownlow St, Liverpool L3 5DA, UK
S. D. P. Williams
National Oceanography Centre, Joseph Proudman Building, 6 Brownlow St, Liverpool L3 5DA, UK
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Tide predictions based on tide-gauge observations are not just astronomical tides; they also contain periodic sea level changes due to the weather. Forecasts of total water level during storm surges add the immediate effects of the weather to the astronomical tide prediction and thus risk double-counting these effects. We use a global model to see how much double-counting may affect these forecasts and also how much of the Highest Astronomical Tide may be due to recurrent weather patterns.
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We use a computer model to simulate storm surges around the coast of the United Kingdom. The model is based on the physics of the atmosphere and oceans. We hope that this will help us to better quantify extreme events: even bigger than those that have been seen in the tide gauge record. Our model simulates events which are comparable to the catastrophic 1953 storm surge. Model simulations have the potential to reduce the uncertainty in inferences of the most extreme surge return levels.
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Ocean Sci., 14, 1057–1068, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-14-1057-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-14-1057-2018, 2018
Short summary
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Tide predictions based on tide-gauge observations are not just astronomical tides; they also contain periodic sea level changes due to the weather. Forecasts of total water level during storm surges add the immediate effects of the weather to the astronomical tide prediction and thus risk double-counting these effects. We use a global model to see how much double-counting may affect these forecasts and also how much of the Highest Astronomical Tide may be due to recurrent weather patterns.
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Joanne Williams and Chris W. Hughes
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