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<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">OSD</journal-id>
<journal-title-group>
<journal-title>Ocean Science Discussions</journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">OSD</abbrev-journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Ocean Sci. Discuss.</abbrev-journal-title>
</journal-title-group>
<issn pub-type="epub">1812-0822</issn>
<publisher><publisher-name></publisher-name>
<publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/osd-10-951-2013</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title>One plausible reason for the change in ENSO characteristics in the 2000s</article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" xlink:type="simple"><name name-style="western"><surname>Stepanov</surname>
<given-names>V. N.</given-names>
<ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0560-9312</ext-link>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1">
<sup>1</sup>
</xref>
</contrib>
</contrib-group><aff id="aff1">
<label>1</label>
<addr-line>Dept. of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, UK</addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>01</day>
<month>07</month>
<year>2013</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>10</volume>
<issue>4</issue>
<fpage>951</fpage>
<lpage>984</lpage>
<permissions>
<copyright-statement>Copyright: &#x000a9; 2013 V. N. Stepanov</copyright-statement>
<copyright-year>2013</copyright-year>
<license license-type="open-access">
<license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri"  xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/</ext-link></license-p>
</license>
</permissions>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/preprints/10/951/2013/osd-10-951-2013.html">This article is available from https://os.copernicus.org/preprints/10/951/2013/osd-10-951-2013.html</self-uri>
<self-uri xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/preprints/10/951/2013/osd-10-951-2013.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://os.copernicus.org/preprints/10/951/2013/osd-10-951-2013.pdf</self-uri>
<abstract>
<p>It is well known that El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) causes
  floods, droughts and the collapse of fisheries, therefore
  forecasting of ENSO is an important task in climate
  researches. Variations in the equatorial warm water volume of the
  tropical Pacific and wind variability in the western equatorial
  Pacific has been considered to be a good ENSO predictor. However, in
  the 2000s, the interrelationship between these two characteristics
  and ENSO onsets became weak. This article attempts to find some
  plausible explanation for this.
&lt;br&gt;&lt;br&gt;
  The results presented here demonstrate a possible link between the
  variability of atmospheric conditions over the Southern Ocean and
  their impact on the ocean circulation leading to the
  amplifying/triggering of ENSO events. It is shown that the
  variability of the atmospheric conditions upstream of Drake Passage
  can strongly influence ENSO events. The interrelationship between
  ENSO and variability in the equatorial warm water volume of the
  equatorial Pacific, together with wind variability in the western
  equatorial Pacific has recently weakened. It can be explained by the
  fact that the process occurred in the Southern Ocean recently became
  a major contributor amplifying ENSO events (in comparison with the
  processes of interaction between the atmosphere and the ocean in the
  tropics of the Pacific). Likely it is due to a warmer ocean state
  observed from the end of the 1990s that led to smaller atmospheric
  variability in the tropics and insignificant their changes in the
  Southern Ocean.</p>
</abstract>
<counts><page-count count="34"/></counts>
</article-meta>
</front>
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