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<article xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:oasis="http://docs.oasis-open.org/ns/oasis-exchange/table" xml:lang="en" dtd-version="3.0" article-type="methods-article">
  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">OS</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Ocean Science</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">OS</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Ocean Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1812-0792</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/os-22-1377-2026</article-id><title-group><article-title>A method for quantifying correlation in the shape of  oceanographic profile data</article-title><alt-title>A method for quantifying correlation in the shape of oceanographic profile data</alt-title>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1 aff2">
          <name><surname>Taylor</surname><given-names>Mark</given-names></name>
          <email>mrt1u21@soton.ac.uk</email>
        </contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff2">
          <name><surname>Henson</surname><given-names>Stephanie</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3875-6802</ext-link></contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>School of Ocean and Earth Science, University of Southampton, European Way, Southampton, SO14 3ZH, UK</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>2</label><institution>Ocean Biogeosciences, National Oceanography Centre, European Way, Southampton, SO14 3ZH, UK</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Mark Taylor (mrt1u21@soton.ac.uk)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>28</day><month>April</month><year>2026</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>22</volume>
      <issue>2</issue>
      <fpage>1377</fpage><lpage>1390</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>12</day><month>January</month><year>2026</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>4</day><month>February</month><year>2026</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>16</day><month>April</month><year>2026</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>17</day><month>April</month><year>2026</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement>Copyright: © 2026 Mark Taylor</copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/22/1377/2026/os-22-1377-2026.html">This article is available from https://os.copernicus.org/articles/22/1377/2026/os-22-1377-2026.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/22/1377/2026/os-22-1377-2026.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://os.copernicus.org/articles/22/1377/2026/os-22-1377-2026.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract><title>Abstract</title>

      <p id="d2e97">Vertical profiles are a common type of oceanographic observation, involving measurements of a variable across a range of depths, and are widely used to identify physical and biogeochemical features of the water column. Recent studies have shown that oceanographic profiles can be represented as functional data objects, where each profile is treated as a single datum and expressed as a function of pressure. This study applies a recently developed technique, which defines a scalar correlation coefficient for functional data, to the analysis of oceanographic profiles. The method represents each profile using basis functions, whose associated weightings are termed basis coefficients, and quantifies dependence through the variability of these coefficients.  An important advantage of this method is that the resulting correlation coefficient reflects similarities in overall profile shape, not just correlations between values at specific depths. Two applications of this method are explored: calculating the correlation coefficient between two different oceanographic variables, and estimating the temporal autocorrelation function of a single variable. Each application is demonstrated using two case study datasets: (1) the Coastal Endurance Washington Offshore Profiler Mooring and (2) biogeochemical-Argo floats. The first case study demonstrates how the method can be used to identify physical drivers of variability in biogeochemical profile structure. The second case study reveals regional differences in relationships between profiled variables and their temporal autocorrelation characteristics. This technique has broad potential for application to data from moorings, autonomous platforms, and ocean models, with possible use in observing system optimisation, data assimilation, and the analysis of vertically structured ocean processes.</p>
  </abstract>
    
<funding-group>
<award-group id="gs1">
<funding-source>Natural Environment Research Council</funding-source>
<award-id>NE/S007210/1</award-id>
</award-group>
</funding-group>
</article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

      
<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <label>1</label><title>Introduction</title>
      <p id="d2e111">Oceanographic depth profiles describe vertical changes in the physical, chemical, and biological properties of the water column and are widely collected because they help to reveal important features like thermoclines <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx20" id="paren.1"/>, subsurface chlorophyll maxima <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx17" id="paren.2"/> and oxygen minimum zones <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx31" id="paren.3"/>. Measuring profiles of several variables simultaneously can allow for a more integrated interpretation of the vertical environment, such as assessing how biogeochemical phenomena are coupled to the physical structure of the water column <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx9 bib1.bibx6 bib1.bibx8" id="paren.4"/>. Historically, ship based observations were the primary source of comprehensive profiling datasets; however they are sparse in space and time, especially in inaccessible regions. However, over the past two decades, the quantity of depth profiles has increased substantially due to the widespread deployment of autonomous observing platforms <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx60" id="paren.5"/>, many of which can measure a suite of physical and biogeochemical variables <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx11 bib1.bibx58" id="paren.6"/>. Furthermore, technological developments have enabled autonomous platforms to operate for long periods whilst sampling at frequencies high enough to observe small-scale processes such as turbulence <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx46" id="paren.7"/>. This rapid growth in both the quantity and diversity of profiling data highlights the need for statistical tools tailored to depth profiles to aid their analysis and improve understanding of ocean vertical structure.</p>
      <p id="d2e136">Functional data analysis (FDA) provides a framework for analysing data that take the form of continuous curves, where a variable of interest is expressed as a function of an indexing variable <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx43" id="paren.8"/>. This enables analysis of the shape of the resulting functions. Recent work has demonstrated the benefits of treating oceanographic profiles as continuous functional data objects, where depth (or pressure) serves as the indexing variable <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx62 bib1.bibx30 bib1.bibx29" id="paren.9"/>. This allows for the essence of the profile shape to be captured within each datum, alongside the numerical values. This perspective is consistent with mathematical models of the ocean’s vertical structure, which capture depth dependent interactions among key variables <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx50 bib1.bibx24 bib1.bibx2" id="paren.10"/>. Additionally, representing profiles as functions helps mitigate sampling irregularities between profiles. Although previous studies have utilised this approach in the context of spatio-temporal modelling and interpolation <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx62 bib1.bibx30" id="paren.11"/>, there are opportunities to explore more fundamental analyses through the lens of FDA. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57" id="text.12"/> developed a methodology for quantifying the variance of a functional dataset as a single value (a scalar), when previously only a variance function was used <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx43" id="paren.13"/>. This approach involves representing each functional datum as the linear combination of a set of basis functions, whose corresponding weightings are called basis coefficients.  <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57" id="text.14"/> defined the variance and covariance of paired functional datasets as sums of the variances and covariances of the basis coefficients, and used these quantities to compute a scalar correlation coefficient. The purpose of this work is to present the first applications of this statistical approach to oceanographic profiles.</p>
      <p id="d2e161">Correlation coefficients are commonly calculated between scalar oceanographic variables, particularly for surface data <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx33 bib1.bibx28 bib1.bibx23" id="paren.15"/> or for metrics derived from profiles such as mixed layer depth or subsurface chlorophyll maximum depth <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx27 bib1.bibx61" id="paren.16"/>. While relationships between full profiles have been identified <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx9 bib1.bibx10 bib1.bibx31" id="paren.17"/>, these dependencies have not been quantified with correlation coefficients. Autocorrelation functions (ACFs), which describe the persistence of a variable across spatial or temporal scales, provide information about the main sources of variability <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx1 bib1.bibx21" id="paren.18"/>. ACFs are used in a range of applications including interpolation <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx35" id="paren.19"/>, observing system design <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx25 bib1.bibx12 bib1.bibx15" id="paren.20"/> and data assimilation <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx51 bib1.bibx37" id="paren.21"/>. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx53" id="text.22"/> computed ACFs for profiling data in the Arctic, but estimated correlations by binning measurements at each depth rather than treating profiles as single datums. By computing correlation coefficients and ACFs directly from full profiles, the present approach complements existing methods and naturally incorporates profile shape.</p>
      <p id="d2e189">The approach is illustrated with two case studies using simultaneously measured multi-variable profiles to explore the coupling between physical and biogeochemical variables. The first case study uses data from the Coastal Endurance Washington Offshore Profiler Mooring (CE09OSPM) <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx45" id="paren.23"/>, a daily-averaged time series of hydrographic and dissolved oxygen measurements at a single site, which makes it suitable for examining local temporal variability. While the annual cycles of these variables have been estimated <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx45" id="paren.24"/>, their seasonal strength was not quantified. The second case study comprises temperature and chlorophyll profiles from seven Biogeochemical-Argo (BGC-Argo) floats <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx16" id="paren.25"/>, which typically collect depth profiles every 10 days while drifting with ocean currents. Previous studies have explored relationships between environmental conditions and vertical chlorophyll structure using BGC-Argo floats <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx3 bib1.bibx17 bib1.bibx18 bib1.bibx52" id="paren.26"/>, but correlations between hydrographic and biogeochemical profiles have not been reported. In this study, correlation coefficients between multiple profiled variables, as well as their temporal ACFs, were estimated for each case study dataset using the method developed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57" id="text.27"/>. In the first case study, the relationship between potential density and dissolved oxygen is quantified, with results indicating that variability in density may be driven by changes in salinity profiles. In addition, the strength of the seasonal variability in each variable is quantified. The second case study highlights that spatial variability can dominate temporal variability for mobile platforms. In summary, this study demonstrates that dependencies in vertical profile structure can be quantified using a scalar correlation framework. As the availability of profile observations continues to increase, this technique has broad potential for application across oceanography.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <label>2</label><title>Methods</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <label>2.1</label><title>Scalar correlation for oceanographic profiles</title>
      <p id="d2e222">Functional datasets are those in which each datum takes the form of a continuous curve or surface which is a function of at least one other variable. A recent development in FDA includes a method for calculating scalar-valued summary statistics, specifically the variance and correlation, for functional datasets <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57" id="paren.28"/>. The method is described briefly here, and a simple example is illustrated schematically in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F1"/>. Full details and proofs are given in <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57" id="text.29"/>. As background to the formulation below, functional data are represented as linear combinations of orthogonal basis functions, with associated weights known as basis coefficients. Basis functions are smooth reference curves that act as building blocks for reconstructing profiles. Orthogonality implies that each basis function captures an independent component of the data that cannot be reproduced by combining the others. Changes in the basis coefficients modify the values of the functional data and may also change its overall shape. Measuring the variability of the basis coefficients therefore provides a way to quantify variability in a functional dataset. Extending this to two datasets, together with the covariance of their basis coefficients, yields a natural description of dependence between the datasets.</p>

      <fig id="F1" specific-use="star"><label>Figure 1</label><caption><p id="d2e235">A visual demonstration of the method developed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57" id="text.30"/>. The figure shows the decomposition of two functional datasets, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">Y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>, into three orthogonal basis functions (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi>x</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> respectively), and the resulting calculation of their correlation. Note that scales of the bar charts were normalised.</p></caption>
          <graphic xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/22/1377/2026/os-22-1377-2026-f01.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d2e304">Suppose that <inline-formula><mml:math id="M6" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">Y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> are two datasets each containing <inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> profiles (for example, paired chlorophyll and temperature profiles). Decompose each profile from <inline-formula><mml:math id="M9" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">Y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> into <inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> orthogonal basis functions with <inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> denoting the coefficient of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>th basis function of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M15" display="inline"><mml:mi>i</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>th profile in sets <inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">Y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> respectively. Calculation of the variability of the basis coefficients requires first computing their mean values, which for sets <inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">Y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> are respectively given by

            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E1" content-type="numbered"><label>1</label><mml:math id="M20" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mspace width="1em" linebreak="nobreak"/><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>.</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p>
      <p id="d2e515">Using the mean basis coefficients with the basis functions represents a mean function for each set, describing a characteristic profile shape. Using these mean basis coefficients, the variance of the coefficients can be calculated for each of the basis functions (denoted <inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> respectively). The variances of sets <inline-formula><mml:math id="M23" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">Y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> are then simply the sums of the basis coefficient variances <inline-formula><mml:math id="M25" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> respectively.

                <disp-formula specific-use="gather" content-type="numbered"><mml:math id="M27" display="block"><mml:mtable displaystyle="true"><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E2"><mml:mtd><mml:mtext>2</mml:mtext></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle class="stylechange" displaystyle="true"/><mml:mtext>Var</mml:mtext><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">X</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr><mml:mlabeledtr id="Ch1.E3"><mml:mtd><mml:mtext>3</mml:mtext></mml:mtd><mml:mtd><mml:mrow><mml:mstyle class="stylechange" displaystyle="true"/><mml:mtext>Var</mml:mtext><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">Y</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi>V</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:msup><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">2</mml:mn></mml:msup></mml:mrow></mml:mtd></mml:mlabeledtr></mml:mtable></mml:math></disp-formula>

          Similarly, the covariance between sets <inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M29" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">Y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is defined as the sum of the covariances of each basis coefficient <inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>.

            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E4" content-type="numbered"><label>4</label><mml:math id="M31" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>Cov</mml:mtext><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">X</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">Y</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:msub><mml:mi>C</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>j</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>p</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle><mml:munderover><mml:mo movablelimits="false">∑</mml:mo><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow><mml:mi>n</mml:mi></mml:munderover><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>a</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>A</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:msub><mml:mi>b</mml:mi><mml:mrow><mml:mi>i</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:mrow></mml:msub><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mover accent="true"><mml:mrow><mml:msub><mml:mi>B</mml:mi><mml:mi>j</mml:mi></mml:msub></mml:mrow><mml:mo mathvariant="normal">‾</mml:mo></mml:mover><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula>

          The equation to calculate the correlation between the sets <inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">Y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> is the same for scalar data.

            <disp-formula id="Ch1.E5" content-type="numbered"><label>5</label><mml:math id="M34" display="block"><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>Cor</mml:mtext><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">X</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">Y</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mstyle displaystyle="true"><mml:mfrac style="display"><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>Cov</mml:mtext><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">X</mml:mi><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">Y</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow><mml:msqrt><mml:mrow><mml:mtext>Var</mml:mtext><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">X</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo><mml:mtext>Var</mml:mtext><mml:mo>(</mml:mo><mml:mi mathvariant="script">Y</mml:mi><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:msqrt></mml:mfrac></mml:mstyle></mml:mrow></mml:math></disp-formula></p>
      <p id="d2e1010">The correlation for functional data is restricted to the closed interval <inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>[</mml:mo><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>,</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn><mml:mo>]</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>, identical to that for scalar data. Mathematically, a correlation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> implies that corresponding basis coefficients are perfectly positively linearly related, such that a positive change in a basis coefficient in one dataset results in a proportional positive change in the same coefficient in the corresponding observation. A deviation (from the mean function) in a specific basis component in set <inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> corresponds to a deviation in the same direction in the equivalent component in the set <inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">Y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>. In contrast, a correlation of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> represents a case where each basis is perfectly linear and negatively correlated. Specifically, this implies that any deviation in a particular component in set <inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> corresponds to a deviation in the opposite direction from the mean function in set <inline-formula><mml:math id="M41" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="script">Y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>. Note that this does not imply that each pair of functions is a pointwise negative of the other, but instead they vary in opposite directions along the structural features captured by the basis coefficient. Figure <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F2"/> shows several examples of datasets containing pairs of oceanographic profiles, illustrating a range of correlation structures. In Examples 1 and 2, the profiles exhibit strong positive correlation, meaning that positive deviations from the mean in one dataset are mirrored by similar deviations in the other. Notably, Example 2 highlights that this correlation coefficient reflects dependence between deviations, rather than similarity in the overall shape of the mean profiles. In contrast, Examples 3 and 4 show negligible correlation, with variations in one profile occurring independently of the other. Finally, Examples 5 and 6 demonstrate negative correlation, where positive deviations in one dataset are associated with corresponding negative deviations in the other.</p>

      <fig id="F2" specific-use="star"><label>Figure 2</label><caption><p id="d2e1084">Six examples of paired sets of oceanographic profiles represented as functional data, together with their corresponding correlations. Colours indicate matched pairs across the two sets, and dashed curves denote the mean profiles of each set. In Example 2, the profiles were constructed to illustrate that a high correlation can arise even when the mean profile shapes differ substantially.</p></caption>
          <graphic xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/22/1377/2026/os-22-1377-2026-f02.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d2e1093">It is worth noting that this method could, in principle, be extended to compare sets of profiles measured over different depth ranges, although an example is not provided in the present study. This could be achieved by rescaling each range to a common interval (e.g., [0,1]) and representing the profiles using regularly spaced measurements with a consistent number of points and basis functions. The interpretation would then differ slightly, in that a deviation in one set of profiles may correspond to a deviation at a different physical depth in another set. This approach could also help identify depth ranges over which two variables are correlated, such as within the mixed layer, by iteratively repeating the analysis with modified profile segments to detect where the dependence in profile shape breaks down.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <label>2.2</label><title>Implementation</title>
      <p id="d2e1104">In practice, the profiling data from each set were stored as a matrix, with each column representing a profile and each row representing a depth level. Each profile was converted to basis function coefficients using a fast Fourier transform (FFT), where the number of basis functions equals the number of depth levels in the profile (and therefore the maximum number of basis functions is equal to the number of depth levels). Fourier bases were chosen because many oceanographic profiles vary smoothly with depth, allowing compact representation by sinusoidal functions, and because they performed well in previous work on temperature time series <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57" id="paren.31"/>. This transformation requires complete data vectors; therefore, profiles with missing values were removed or gap-filled prior to analysis. Details of the preprocessing steps are provided in the case studies in Sect. 3. It is worth noting that this study does not explore the effect of smoothing on the computed correlation coefficients. However, the approach is expected to be robust, provided that the general shape of the profiles is sufficiently clear to allow identification of meaningful water column features. Where profiles exhibit substantial noise relative to the underlying signal, smoothing is recommended prior to computing correlation coefficients.</p>
      <p id="d2e1110">The FFT produces complex-valued coefficients, stored as a matrix where each row now contains coefficients associated with a different basis function. To preserve linearity for subsequent statistical calculations, the variance of each coefficient was defined as the sum of the variances of its real and imaginary components, and the covariance between coefficients as the sum of the covariances of the corresponding real and imaginary parts. This enables direct computation of variance and covariance in the transformed space, whereas some alternative basis expansions yield real-valued coefficients only. Row-wise variances were computed for each coefficient matrix and summed across coefficients to obtain dataset-level variances. Covariances were computed similarly by summing row-wise covariances between paired matrices.</p>
      <p id="d2e1113">To compute correlations between oceanographic variables, each data matrix contained profiles of a single variable, with simultaneously measured profiles aligned in corresponding columns. Temporal ACFs were estimated by identifying all profile pairs separated by a specified time lag. For each lag, earlier profiles formed one matrix and later profiles the other, ensuring matched dimensions and indexing. Time lags up to two years (730 d) were evaluated. All analyses were conducted in R version 4.4.1 <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx44" id="paren.32"/>. To improve computational efficiency, the search for profile pairs at each temporal lag was implemented in C++, which was substantially faster than the equivalent R implementation, and executed on a workstation with an Intel Core i5 processor. The data for both case studies and code used in the analysis are publicly available at <ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18164579" ext-link-type="DOI">10.5281/zenodo.18164579</ext-link> <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx54" id="paren.33"/>.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <label>3</label><title>Case studies</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <label>3.1</label><title>Coastal Endurance Washington Offshore Profiler Mooring</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1.SSS1">
  <label>3.1.1</label><title>Dataset description</title>
      <p id="d2e1148">The Coastal Endurance Washington Offshore Profiler Mooring (CE09OSPM) collected high resolution profiling data from October 2014 to May 2025 at a site 60 km west of Grays Harbor, Washington. <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx45" id="text.34"/> produced a quality controlled, and vertically gridded dataset from these mooring measurements (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F3"/>). This dataset comprises 3244 profiles – each a daily average of up to eight measurements – of temperature, practical salinity, potential density, and dissolved oxygen (DO). It was selected because of its range of physical and biogeochemical variables and its regularly gridded structure in time and depth (0.5 dbar intervals), i.e. it already had the matrix structure described in Sect. <xref ref-type="sec" rid="Ch1.S2.SS2"/>. Profiles were truncated to 40–400 m due to high rates of missing data outside this depth range. Profiles with any missing values between 40–400 m were removed. As a result, correlation coefficients between physical variables used 3178 profiles, whereas those involving oxygen used 2250 profiles. To retain all profile variability, each profile was represented by 721 Fourier basis coefficients, corresponding to each depth measurement in the restricted profiles, prior to the correlation calculations. There are some gaps in the time series due to poor weather and instrument or software failures. As a check, correlation coefficients were computed using simulated scalar data with the sample sizes described above. The resulting values differed from the theoretical correlations (in the absence of missing observations) by at most 0.02. This suggests that the correlation estimates in this case study are robust to missing data.</p>

      <fig id="F3" specific-use="star"><label>Figure 3</label><caption><p id="d2e1160">The dataset produced by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx45" id="text.35"/> comprising time series of temperature, salinity, potential density and dissolved oxygen profiles at the Coastal Endurance Washington Offshore Profiler Mooring (CE09OSPM).</p></caption>
            <graphic xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/22/1377/2026/os-22-1377-2026-f03.png"/>

          </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1.SSS2">
  <label>3.1.2</label><title>Results</title>
      <p id="d2e1180">At CE09OSPM, the strongest profile correlations were observed between salinity and potential density (0.90), and between temperature and potential density (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M42" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.79</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>) (Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1"/>). Potential density and DO were also strongly correlated (–0.75), indicating that oxygen concentrations closely track the vertical structure set by mixing and stratification: as density increases at a given depth, DO tends to decrease. The weakest correlation occurred between temperature and salinity (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.44</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), suggesting that density – and thus oxygen variability – is primarily driven by salinity rather than temperature. In turn, this indicates that differences in DO profile shape are governed mainly by salinity-driven changes in water mass structure, which appears appropriate after consulting the similarity in the time series of salinity and DO in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F3"/>.</p>

<table-wrap id="T1" specific-use="star"><label>Table 1</label><caption><p id="d2e1210">Correlation matrix between profiles of the four oceanographic variables measured at the Coastal Endurance Washington Offshore Profiler Mooring (CE09OSPM).</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="5">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Temperature</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Salinity</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Potential density</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Dissolved oxygen</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Temperature</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.44</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.79</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.54</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Salinity</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.44</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.90</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M47" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.75</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Potential density</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M48" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.79</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.90</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M49" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.77</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Dissolved oxygen</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.54</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M50" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.75</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M51" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.77</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">–</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <p id="d2e1388">The temporal ACFs of all variables initially decayed exponentially, albeit at different rates, before transitioning to approximately sinusoidal patterns, reflecting seasonal cycles (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F4"/>). Temperature exhibited the strongest annual cycle, with <inline-formula><mml:math id="M52" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ρ</mml:mi><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> at a lag of 365 d and a clear sinusoidal ACF. In contrast, DO had the weakest annual autocorrelation (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M53" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ρ</mml:mi><mml:mo>≈</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.22</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), indicating a less predictable interannual cycle. At short time lags, the DO ACF decayed rapidly, reaching <inline-formula><mml:math id="M54" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mi mathvariant="italic">ρ</mml:mi><mml:mo>=</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.6</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> after 18 d, whereas temperature took roughly 45 d to reach the same level. These patterns suggest that DO varies over shorter temporal scales than temperature and that its seasonal cycle is weaker and less consistent.</p>

      <fig id="F4" specific-use="star"><label>Figure 4</label><caption><p id="d2e1432">Temporal ACFs for four oceanographic variables measured as profiles at the Coastal Endurance Washington Offshore Profiler Mooring (CE09OSPM).</p></caption>
            <graphic xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/22/1377/2026/os-22-1377-2026-f04.png"/>

          </fig>

</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <label>3.2</label><title>BGC-Argo float profiles</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2.SSS1">
  <label>3.2.1</label><title>Dataset description</title>
      <p id="d2e1457">Biogeochemical-Argo (BGC-Argo) floats are autonomous platforms that measure physical and biogeochemical properties throughout the upper 2000 m of the ocean <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx16" id="paren.36"/>. They typically profile every 10 d and drift with the currents, making them semi-Lagrangian. Here, the method was applied to temperature and chlorophyll concentration profiles from seven regularly sampling floats (WMOs 1902385, 4903365, 6901767, 5905107, 5906204, 5904021, and 6901585, shown in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F5"/>). The lifespans of floats ranged from 2.83 to 4.98 years. All profiles had undergone standard quality control prior to download <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx59" id="paren.37"/>, including correction for non-photochemical quenching of chlorophyll <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx48" id="paren.38"/>. Measurements flagged as “probably bad” or “bad” were excluded. Profiles with fewer than 20 measurements between 5 and 250 m, or those not spanning at least between 20 and 230 m, were removed. Remaining profiles were regridded to 5 m intervals from 5 to 250 m using linear interpolation, then smoothed using a 15 m moving-median window. Each processed profile was represented by 51 Fourier basis coefficients, one for each regridded depth level.</p>

      <fig id="F5" specific-use="star"><label>Figure 5</label><caption><p id="d2e1473">Trajectories of seven BGC-Argo floats used in the second case study. The background map shows the mean surface chlorophyll concentration during 2024 <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx22" id="paren.39"/>.</p></caption>
            <graphic xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/22/1377/2026/os-22-1377-2026-f05.png"/>

          </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2.SSS2">
  <label>3.2.2</label><title>Results</title>
      <p id="d2e1493">The correlation between chlorophyll and temperature profiles varied among BGC-Argo floats, both in magnitude and in sign (Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"/>). For example, floats 4903365, 6901767, and 1902385 showed moderate positive (0.47), moderate negative (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M55" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.42</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>), and negligible (0.02) correlations, respectively, and these floats were located in different ocean basins. This suggests that the coupling between temperature and chlorophyll profiles may be location dependent. Floats that moved a significant distance during their lifespans (5906204, 5904021, and 6901585) also gave weak to moderate correlations, indicating that floats moving between regions may not affect the strength of correlation between chlorophyll and temperature. The negligible correlation for float 1902385 may be due to year round subsurface chlorophyll maxima despite seasonal changes in surface temperature (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F6"/>a).</p>

<table-wrap id="T2"><label>Table 2</label><caption><p id="d2e1513">Correlation between chlorophyll and temperature profiles collected by seven BGC-Argo floats.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="5">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="center"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Float ID</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Mean</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Lifespan</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">No. of</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Cor(Chl, Temp)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">latitude</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">(years)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">profiles</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">(° N)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">1902385</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">25.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">2.93</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">108</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.02</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">4903365</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">57.1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">3.37</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">124</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.47</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">6901767</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">40.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">3.07</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">206</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M56" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.42</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">5905107</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M57" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">34.0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">4.20</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">139</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M58" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.42</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">5906204</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M59" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">31.0</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">4.98</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">175</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M60" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.34</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">5904021</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">33.8</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">3.79</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">267</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M61" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">0.30</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">6901585</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M62" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">54.8</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">2.83</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">225</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.16</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <fig id="F6" specific-use="star"><label>Figure 6</label><caption><p id="d2e1771">Temporal ACFs of chlorophyll and temperature profiles from a selection of seven BGC-Argo floats. First and second columns: semi-Lagrangian sections over the floats' lifespan of chlorophyll, and temperature, respectively. Third column: smooth curves showing the temporal ACFs for temperature (red) and chlorophyll (blue). Point opacity is lower for lags with fewer pairings and the ACFs are weighted towards points with more pairs. ACFs with scattered points indicate greater irregularity in sampling times. The colours of the boxes under the float numbers match those of corresponding profile locations in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F5"/>.</p></caption>
            <graphic xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/22/1377/2026/os-22-1377-2026-f06.png"/>

          </fig>

      <p id="d2e1783">Whilst previous studies have assessed relationships between scalar-valued metrics of chlorophyll profiles and water column features <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx27 bib1.bibx61 bib1.bibx63" id="paren.40"/>, the results presented here instead characterise the dependence between entire profiles of chlorophyll and temperature. A key implication is that the resulting correlation coefficients naturally integrate the features of chlorophyll profiles identified by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx61" id="text.41"/> – including peak concentration, depth, and thickness – within a single metric. This removes the need to explicitly define and detect such features, which can be particularly advantageous when profiles lack a well-defined peak. A similar interpretation applies to temperature, where the metric implicitly incorporates properties such as surface temperature, mixed layer depth, and thermocline gradient. However, the resulting coefficient does not distinguish which, if any, specific characteristics of the profiles drive the observed correlation.</p>
      <p id="d2e1792">The temporal ACFs of chlorophyll and temperature profiles varied across floats (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F6"/>a–d), with four floats (WMOs 1902385, 4903365, 6901767, and 5905107) showing sinusoidal ACFs for both variables, indicating strong annual cycles. Temperature typically had a stronger seasonal cycle than chlorophyll, with correlation coefficient between 0.55 and 0.9 after a lag of one year, whereas chlorophyll had correlations between 0 and 0.6 after one year. In contrast, floats 5906204, 5904021, and 6901585 did not show sinusoidal ACFs (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F6"/>e–g). These floats travelled long distances across water masses, and their temperature ACFs remained above 0.5 for far longer than a seasonal cycle (up to a year for float 6901585). This highlights that float trajectories might influence ACF structure and decorrelation timescales, and that spatial variability might obscure seasonal signals. Over shorter time lags (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M63" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>&lt;</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">90</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> d), chlorophyll nearly always had a lower ACF than temperature, indicating a higher proportion of its variability occurs over subseasonal scales than temperature (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F6"/>).</p>
</sec>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4">
  <label>4</label><title>Discussion</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS1">
  <label>4.1</label><title>Profile correlation between multiple variables</title>
      <p id="d2e1829">The proposed method extends existing statistical tools for oceanographic profile analysis by summarising the similarity between two sets of profiles with a single correlation coefficient, analogous to the scalar-valued case. Importantly, the coefficient reflects both profile shape as well as the absolute magnitude, so dependencies in either characteristic are captured. Given the widespread familiarity with correlation coefficients, this approach provides a natural extension of scalar correlation analyses to full vertical profiles.</p>
      <p id="d2e1832">In an exploratory data analysis context, the method enables rapid identification of potential dependencies among multiple oceanographic variables and can inform subsequent modelling decisions. In the first case study, simultaneously measured profiles of temperature, salinity, potential density, and DO were analysed. The resulting correlation matrix (Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T1"/>) suggests that salinity-driven density variability is a primary driver of DO variability at the mooring site. The high correlations among hydrographic variables, notably between salinity and potential density, indicate multicollinearity, implying that a model predicting DO profiles may not require all three predictors. These high correlations may be expected given that the variables are connected through well established physical relationships <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx49" id="paren.42"/>. The second case study shows that the correlation between chlorophyll and temperature varies spatially (Table <xref ref-type="table" rid="T2"/>). The difference in correlation coefficients suggests that region specific analyses are required, as a single relationship may not hold across locations. In some regions, factors other than water column structure – such as nutrient availability or light – may exert stronger control on chlorophyll profiles <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx19 bib1.bibx56 bib1.bibx17" id="paren.43"/>.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS2">
  <label>4.2</label><title>Temporal autocorrelation of profiles</title>
      <p id="d2e1853">Oceanographers frequently investigate the temporal scales of variability in oceanographic time series, for which ACFs are a standard diagnostic tool. Previous approaches have produced ACFs for measurements collected at the surface <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx35 bib1.bibx21" id="paren.44"/> and within specific depth bins <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx53" id="paren.45"/>. In addition, modes of variability have been identified using empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx26 bib1.bibx4" id="paren.46"/> or by computing seasonal climatologies <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx45" id="paren.47"/>. The advantage of this approach is the quantification of temporal autocorrelation at specific time lags for time series of entire profiles. For example, in the first case study, it is shown that the autocorrelation of DO decays significantly faster than hydrographic variables for the shortest time lags (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F4"/>). When combined with weaker annual autocorrelation, this suggests that variability over short time scales is relatively more important for DO profiles, as has been shown for surface chlorophyll measurements <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx42" id="paren.48"/>. The second case study builds on this by showing that the similarity between the ACFs of two oceanographic variables can vary spatially. Furthermore, the fact that BGC-Argo floats can move substantial distances over time can lead to temporal variability being dominated by spatial variability. This is demonstrated in Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F6"/>e–g where the ACFs do not display a sinusoidal curve. Visual inspection of the corresponding time series (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F6"/>e–g) confirms that that seasonal cycles are not present and sinusoidal ACFs would not be expected.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS3">
  <label>4.3</label><title>Limitations</title>
      <p id="d2e1886">Several caveats accompany this approach. First, it quantifies only linear dependence between sets of profiles, so non linear relationships will not be reflected in the coefficient. Second, as in the analysis of scalar-valued data, the correlation coefficient presented here does not quantify the magnitude of the causal effects between functional variables in the way that the slope of a linear regression does. Consequently, functional regression models are required to obtain this type of information <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx43 bib1.bibx39" id="paren.49"/>. Interpreting correlation scores can also be challenging because the coefficient alone gives no indication of which depths contribute to the relationship, so this method should be used alongside other tools when investigating drivers of profile variability.</p>
      <p id="d2e1892">The FDA approach presented here assumes that observations represent smooth functions of the indexing variable and that the sampling resolution is sufficient to capture the main vertical structure of the profile, which oceanographic profiles typically satisfy. An appropriate set of basis functions is therefore required; Fourier bases are recommended because they produce smooth function estimates while capturing variation across a range of spatial scales. However, as with any basis expansion, artefacts can arise when profiles contain sharp gradients or substantial noise. For example, truncated Fourier representations may exhibit oscillatory behaviour near sharp transitions (similar to the Gibbs phenomenon), and noisy observations can introduce small-scale fluctuations in the fitted curves. Consequently, some smoothing may be necessary prior to analysis, although excessive smoothing can artificially inflate correlation estimates. In cases where profiles from different platforms have different vertical resolutions, it is important to ensure that the analysis resolution is adequate to resolve the main differences in shape. This may require either reducing the resolution of higher-resolution profiles or interpolating lower-resolution profiles to a finer grid, depending on the vertical scale of the features being investigated.</p>
      <p id="d2e1895">In addition, long time lag estimates may be affected by sensor drift, which is well documented for autonomous platforms <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx59" id="paren.50"/>. Finally, the method becomes less effective for identifying long-term autocorrelation when profiling platforms move large distances, particularly between distinct oceanic regions with different hydrographic or ecological characteristics (Fig. <xref ref-type="fig" rid="F5"/>).</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4.SS4">
  <label>4.4</label><title>Potential for future usage</title>
      <p id="d2e1911">The scalar correlation framework has broad potential across oceanographic research. It can be applied to the growing collection of datasets from moorings, profiling floats and gliders, and to model output or reanalyses to evaluate coupled physical–biogeochemical variability. As profiling data from autonomous platforms continue to expand, this method offers a way to quantify spatio-temporal autocorrelation for multiple variables and across a wide range of scales. The approach is well suited to parallelisation, making it feasible for analysing high-resolution ocean model output or global observational archives.</p>
      <p id="d2e1914">This framework could support observing system design for programs such as the (BGC-)Argo array <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx12 bib1.bibx36 bib1.bibx15" id="paren.51"/>, and extend previous decorrelation length scale studies <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx32" id="paren.52"/> by incorporating full vertical profile structure. It could also be applied to high resolution glider datasets <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx55" id="paren.53"/> to evaluate efficient sampling strategies <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx40" id="paren.54"/> or to compare and cross calibrate nearby platforms. Combined with satellite products such as geostrophic velocities <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx34" id="paren.55"/>, it may help assess the role of advection in driving profile variability. Alternatively, it could be beneficial to assess small scale processes through the autocorrelation of climatological anomalies.</p>
      <p id="d2e1932">The method could also, in principle, be used to assess reconstructed profile shapes from machine learning predictions <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx47 bib1.bibx13 bib1.bibx41 bib1.bibx36" id="paren.56"/>. Although such models are often evaluated using pointwise metrics (e.g., RMSE), the proposed approach provides a complementary means of comparing predicted and observed profiles, potentially offering further insight into the representation of vertical water column structure. Similarly, outputs from a general circulation model (GCM) can be validated by pairing predicted profiles with the observations used to generate the model <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx36" id="paren.57"/>, while similar analyses across multiple GCMs <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx7" id="paren.58"/> can help assess inter-model variability. In all cases, differences in vertical resolution between products may need to be accounted for. Another possible use is exploring potential relationships between the vertical distributions of different phytoplankton communities <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx5 bib1.bibx38" id="paren.59"/> and their preferred environmental conditions.</p>
      <p id="d2e1947">Future developments could include extending this approach to quantify spatial dependence in vertical profiles within spatial or spatio-temporal models <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx62" id="paren.60"/>. The framework could also be integrated with functional regression and clustering methods to identify coherent oceanic regimes <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx30 bib1.bibx4" id="paren.61"/>. In addition, the autocorrelation framework could be used to fit functional time series models, such as functional autoregressive models <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx14" id="paren.62"/>.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S5" sec-type="conclusions">
  <label>5</label><title>Conclusions</title>
      <p id="d2e1968">This study applied the scalar correlation framework for functional data developed by <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx57" id="text.63"/> to oceanographic profiling datasets. In this framework, profile variability is represented through the variability of basis function coefficients. This enables the calculation of a scalar-valued correlation coefficient that describes the dependence of profile shape between sets of profiles. Application to two case studies containing profiling data from a stationary mooring and from BGC-Argo floats, respectively, demonstrated that the method can reveal physically meaningful relationships and spatial heterogeneity in profile dependencies. Temporal autocorrelation analyses illustrated that different variables exhibit distinct decorrelation timescales and that spatial variability can dominate temporal variability for mobile platforms.</p>
      <p id="d2e1974">The method has broad potential applications across oceanographic research. It can be applied to the expanding global collection of profiling observations, as well as to ocean model output, to quantify spatio-temporal variability and coupled physical–biogeochemical dynamics. Potential uses include observing system design, evaluation of sampling strategies, assessment of advective versus local variability, validation of machine learning products, and investigation of ecosystem scale decorrelation timescales. A variety of methodological approaches could be integrated with this technique, such as functional regression, clustering, spatial modelling or time series analyses. Together, these extensions would further enhance the ability to quantify and interpret variability in the rapidly growing volume of oceanographic profiling data.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><notes notes-type="codedataavailability"><title>Code and data availability</title>

      <p id="d2e1981">The datasets and R code used in this study are available on Zenodo (<ext-link xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18164579" ext-link-type="DOI">10.5281/zenodo.18164579</ext-link>, <xref ref-type="bibr" rid="bib1.bibx54" id="altparen.64"/>).</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="authorcontribution"><title>Author contributions</title>

      <p id="d2e1993">MT conceptualised the work, conducted the analysis and produced the first draft of the manuscript. MT and SH interpreted the results and edited the manuscript. All authors proof read the manuscript before submission.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="competinginterests"><title>Competing interests</title>

      <p id="d2e1999">The contact author has declared that neither of the authors has any competing interests.</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="disclaimer"><title>Disclaimer</title>

      <p id="d2e2005">Publisher's note: Copernicus Publications remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims made in the text, published maps, institutional affiliations, or any other geographical representation in this paper. The authors bear the ultimate responsibility for providing appropriate place names. Views expressed in the text are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p id="d2e2011">Cristhian Leonardo Urbano Leon provided advice on how to interpret the correlation for functional data. ChatGPT was used in places to improve clarity and grammar. The authors are grateful to Winnie Chu and an anonymous reviewer for their insightful comments and suggestions, which improved the manuscript.</p></ack><notes notes-type="financialsupport"><title>Financial support</title>

      <p id="d2e2016">This research has been supported by the Natural Environment Research Council (grant no. NE/S007210/1).</p>
  </notes><notes notes-type="reviewstatement"><title>Review statement</title>

      <p id="d2e2022">This paper was edited by Matthew P. Humphreys and reviewed by Winnie Chu and one anonymous referee.</p>
  </notes><ref-list>
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