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  <front>
    <journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher">OS</journal-id><journal-title-group>
    <journal-title>Ocean Science</journal-title>
    <abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="publisher">OS</abbrev-journal-title><abbrev-journal-title abbrev-type="nlm-ta">Ocean Sci.</abbrev-journal-title>
  </journal-title-group><issn pub-type="epub">1812-0792</issn><publisher>
    <publisher-name>Copernicus Publications</publisher-name>
    <publisher-loc>Göttingen, Germany</publisher-loc>
  </publisher></journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.5194/os-14-205-2018</article-id><title-group><article-title>Orbit-related sea level errors for TOPEX altimetry at seasonal<?xmltex \hack{\break}?> to decadal
timescales</article-title><alt-title>Orbit-related sea level errors for TOPEX altimetry</alt-title>
      </title-group><?xmltex \runningtitle{Orbit-related sea level errors for TOPEX altimetry}?><?xmltex \runningauthor{S. Esselborn et al.}?>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Esselborn</surname><given-names>Saskia</given-names></name>
          <email>saskia.esselborn@gfz-potsdam.de</email>
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1924-4449</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1 aff2">
          <name><surname>Rudenko</surname><given-names>Sergei</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5149-3827</ext-link></contrib>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="no" rid="aff1">
          <name><surname>Schöne</surname><given-names>Tilo</given-names></name>
          
        <ext-link>https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4118-9578</ext-link></contrib>
        <aff id="aff1"><label>1</label><institution>GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Department 1: Geodesy,
Potsdam, Germany</institution>
        </aff>
        <aff id="aff2"><label>a</label><institution>now at: Deutsches Geodätisches Forschungsinstitut (DGFI-TUM), Technische
Universität München, Munich, Germany</institution>
        </aff>
      </contrib-group>
      <author-notes><corresp id="corr1">Saskia Esselborn (saskia.esselborn@gfz-potsdam.de)</corresp></author-notes><pub-date><day>15</day><month>March</month><year>2018</year></pub-date>
      
      <volume>14</volume>
      <issue>2</issue>
      <fpage>205</fpage><lpage>223</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received"><day>9</day><month>June</month><year>2017</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-request"><day>28</day><month>June</month><year>2017</year></date>
           <date date-type="rev-recd"><day>25</day><month>January</month><year>2018</year></date>
           <date date-type="accepted"><day>31</day><month>January</month><year>2018</year></date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        
        
      <license license-type="open-access"><license-p>This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. To view a copy of this licence, visit <ext-link ext-link-type="uri" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/">https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/</ext-link></license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/.html">This article is available from https://os.copernicus.org/articles/.html</self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/.pdf">The full text article is available as a PDF file from https://os.copernicus.org/articles/.pdf</self-uri>
      <abstract>
    <p id="d1e106">Interannual to decadal sea level trends are indicators of climate variability
and change. A major source of global and regional sea level data is satellite
radar altimetry, which relies on precise knowledge of the satellite's orbit.
Here, we assess the error budget of the radial orbit component for the
TOPEX/Poseidon mission for the period 1993 to 2004 from a set of different
orbit solutions. The errors for seasonal, interannual (5-year), and decadal
periods are estimated on global and regional scales based on radial orbit
differences from three state-of-the-art orbit solutions provided by different
research teams: the German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ), the Groupe de
Recherche de  Géodésie Spatiale (GRGS), and the Goddard Space Flight Center
(GSFC). The global mean sea level error related
to orbit uncertainties is of the order of 1 mm (8 % of the global mean sea
level variability) with negligible contributions on the annual and decadal
timescales. In contrast, the orbit-related error of the interannual trend is
0.1 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M1" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (27 % of the corresponding sea level variability) and might
hamper the estimation of an acceleration of the global mean sea level rise.
For regional scales, the gridded orbit-related error is up to 11 mm, and for
about half the ocean the orbit error accounts for at least 10 % of the
observed sea level variability. The seasonal orbit error amounts to 10 %
of the observed seasonal sea level signal in the Southern Ocean. At
interannual and decadal timescales, the orbit-related trend uncertainties
reach regionally more than 1 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M2" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. The interannual trend errors account
for 10 % of the observed sea level signal in the tropical Atlantic and the
south-eastern Pacific. For decadal scales, the orbit-related trend errors are
prominent in a several regions including the South Atlantic, western North
Atlantic, central Pacific, South Australian Basin, and the Mediterranean Sea.
Based on a set of test orbits calculated at GFZ, the sources of the observed
orbit-related errors are further investigated. The main contributors on all
timescales are uncertainties in Earth's time-variable gravity field models and on
annual to interannual timescales discrepancies of the tracking station
subnetworks, i.e. satellite laser ranging (SLR) and Doppler
Orbitography and Radiopositioning Integrated by Satellite (DORIS).</p>
  </abstract>
    </article-meta>
  </front>
<body>
      

<sec id="Ch1.S1" sec-type="intro">
  <title>Introduction</title>
      <p id="d1e140">Sea level is an important indicator of climate variability and change. Based
on tide gauge data using different techniques, the global mean sea level
rise for the last century is estimated to be 1.2–1.9 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M3" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (Douglas, 1997;
Church and White, 2011; Jevrejeva et al., 2008, 2014; Hay et al., 2015).
Based on satellite altimetry data since 1993, the current rate of global
mean sea level has been estimated to be more than 3 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M4" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> (Cazenave et
al., 2014; Ablain et al., 2016; Quartly et al., 2017). The main sources of
the current rise are thermal expansion of the sea water and melting of
glaciers and ice sheets. At interannual timescales, changes of terrestrial
water storage imprint additionally on the global mean sea level (Llovell et
al., 2011). Recent work (Watson et al., 2015; Fasullo et al., 2016) has
focused on the detectability of accelerations in global mean sea level
trends during the last decades. Regionally, sea level rates during the last
24 years show higher variability, they range from <inline-formula><mml:math id="M5" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>1 to more than 10 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M6" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>.
They are mainly linked to regional changes in the ocean's density
field, which might be induced by internal ocean variability,
atmosphere–ocean interaction, or influx of<?pagebreak page206?> freshwater. Satellite altimeters
are a unique source of global and regional sea level data and have been available
continuously since the beginning of the 1990s. Precise orbits of altimetry
satellites are a precondition for global and regional mean sea level
investigations (Rudenko et al., 2012, 2014), and errors
related to precise orbit determination (POD) are demonstrably one of the
major error sources for global and regional sea level products (Ablain et
al., 2015). A detailed description of the main factors contributing to the
radial orbit errors is given by Fu and Haines (2013). The orbit errors have
typically long wavelengths and may contain systematic contributions at
seasonal to decadal timescales.</p>
      <p id="d1e186">Couhert et al. (2015) investigated the main contributions to the radial
orbit error budget for the Jason-1 and Jason-2 series based on Geophysical
Data Records (GDR)-D at seasonal to decadal timescales for the second
altimetry decade (2002–2013). According to their analysis, the orbit-related
uncertainty of the global mean interannual and decadal trends is less than
0.1 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M7" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. As main factors for regional errors, they identified
contributions from tracking data and reference frames (up to 8 mm) at
seasonal timescales, contributions from tracking data (up to 3 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M8" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) and
Earth's time-variable gravity field (up to 2 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M9" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) at interannual
timescales, and contributions from tracking data (up to 2 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M10" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) and Earth's
time-variable gravity field (up to 1.5 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M11" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) at decadal timescales. A
corresponding assessment for the first altimetry decade (1992–2001) is
still missing and is the rationale of this paper.</p>
      <p id="d1e249">We assess the error budget of the radial orbit component for the
TOPEX/Poseidon mission for the period 1993 to 2004 from a set of different
orbit models. We have chosen TOPEX/Poseidon, since it is the reference
altimetry mission used in the European Space Agency's (ESA) Climate Change
Initiative (CCI) Sea Level project over this time span (Ablain et al.,
2016). We assess the radial orbit error budget at regional and global scales
at seasonal, interannual, and decadal timescales by the analysis of three
state-of-the-art orbit solutions derived and provided by different research
teams from the German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ), the Groupe de
Recherche de  Géodésie Spatiale (GRGS), and the Goddard Space Flight Center
(GSFC). Note that our assessment necessarily excludes contributions from
errors common to these three orbits. However, since the three orbits were
derived using various up-to-date models, the errors common to the three
orbits should be rather low, which makes us confident that our error
estimates represent most of the error. In our further analyses, we use test
orbits calculated at GFZ to investigate the impact of uncertainties of the
tracking station subnetworks, of the reference frame, and of the Earth's
time-variable gravity field models on the radial orbit component and hence
the derived sea level.</p>
      <p id="d1e252">A detailed description and assessment of the analysed orbits as well as
specifications of the altimeter data processing are given in Sect. 2.
Section 3.1 describes the methods implemented to assess the orbit errors for the
different timescales and the corresponding results for global and regional
scales. The estimates of the orbit-related error for global mean and
regional sea level are given in Sect. 3.2 and 3.3, respectively. The
specific orbit-related errors for ascending and descending passes are
investigated in Sect. 3.4. In Sect. 3.5, we examine for which areas the orbit
error reaches more than 10 % of the corresponding sea level variability.
The main findings are summarized and discussed in Sect. 4.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{p}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T1" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e259">The main models used for calculation of GFZ VER11, GSFC std1504, and
GRGS orbits.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><?xmltex \begin{scaleboxenv}{.98}[.98]?><oasis:tgroup cols="4">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="justify" colwidth="116pt"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="justify" colwidth="116pt"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="justify" colwidth="116pt"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="justify" colwidth="115pt"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Parameter</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">GFZ REF (VER11) orbit</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">GSFC std1504 orbit</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">GRGS orbit</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Terrestrial reference frame</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">ITRF2008 (Altamimi et al.,<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>2011), SLRF2008 (Pavlis,<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>2009), DPOD2008 (Willis et<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>al., 2015)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">ITRF2008, SLRF2008,<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>DPOD2008</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">ITRF2008, SLRF2008,<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>DPOD2008</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Polar motion and UT1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">IERS EOP 08 C04 (IAU2000A) series with IERS diurnal and semi-diurnal variations</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">IERS bulletin A daily (consistent with ITRF2008), diurnal, and semi-diurnal variations</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">IERS EOP 08 C04</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Precession and nutation model</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">IERS Conventions (2010)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">IAU2000</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">IERS 2010 using non-rotating origin</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Station displacements due to annual geocentre variations</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">None</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Ries (2013)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">None</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Non-tidal atmospheric loading effect on stations</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Based on ECMWF<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>ERA-Interim data</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">None</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">None</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Ocean loading effect on stations</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">FES2004 (Lyard et al., 2006)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">GOT4.10 (Ray, 2013)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">FES2012 (Carrère et al., 2012)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Static Earth's gravity field<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>model</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">EIGEN-6S4 (Förste et al., 2016) degree/order (d/o) 81–90</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">GOCO2S (d/o &gt; 5; Goiginger et al., 2011)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">EIGEN-6S2 (Rudenko et al., 2014)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Earth's time-variable gravity<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>field model</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">EIGEN-6S4 <?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>degree 2: yearly value and drift term; <?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>d/o 1–80: periodic (semi-) annual variations; <?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>from 15 August 2002: <?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>yearly values, drift terms and (semi-) annual variations for d/o 1–80</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Updated harmonic piecewise fit weekly solutions (Lemoine et al., 2016) up to d/o 5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">EIGEN-6S2 <?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>degree 2: yearly value and drift term; <?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>d/o 2–50: periodic (semi-) annual variations; <?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>from 1 January 2003: <?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>yearly values and drift terms for d/o 2–50</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Solid Earth tide</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">IERS Conventions (2010)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">IERS Conventions (2004)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">IERS Conventions (2010)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Ocean tide model</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">EOT11a (Savchenko and Bosch, 2012) up to d/o 80</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">GOT4.10 up to d/o 50</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">FES2012 up to d/o 50</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Non-tidal atmospheric and<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>oceanic gravity</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">GFZ AOD1B RL05 up to d/o 100 (Dobslaw et al., 2013), including ECMWF 6-hourly fields and OMCT</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">ECMWF 6-hourly fields up<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>to d/o 50</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">3-hourly ERA-Interim and<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>TUGO R12 up to d/o 50</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Atmospheric density model</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">MSIS-86 (Hedin, 1987)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">MSIS-86</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">DTM 94, with the best available solar activity data</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Earth radiation and albedo</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Knocke et al. (1988)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Knocke et al. (1988)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Albedo and IR pressure values interpolated from ECMWF 6hr grids</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Radiation pressure model</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Tuned eight-panel (Cerri and Ferrage, 2016)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Tuned eight-panel</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Thermo-optical coefficient from pre-launch box and wing model, with smoothed Earth shadow model</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Tracking data</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">SLR, DORIS</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">SLR, DORIS</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">SLR, DORIS</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">SLR tropospheric correction<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>model</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Mendes and Pavlis (2004)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Mendes and Pavlis (2004)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Mendes and Pavlis (2004)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">DORIS tropospheric correction<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>model</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Vienna Mapping Functions 1<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>(Boehm and Schuh, 2004)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Vienna Mapping Functions 1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">GPT2/Vienna Mapping Func-<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>tions 1</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">DORIS modelling</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">DORIS beacon frequency bias modelling</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">DORIS beacon phase centre</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">DORIS beacon phase centre</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">DORIS system time bias</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Estimated once per arc</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Estimated once per arc</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">None</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Drag coefficients</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Estimated every 6 h</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Estimated every 8 h</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Estimated every 12 h</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Along- and cross-track empirical accelerations (once per rev-<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>olution)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Estimated every 24 h</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Estimated every 24 h</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Estimated once per arc<?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?>(3.5 days)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">SLR antenna reference</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">LRA model (see note below)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">LRA model (see note below)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M12" display="inline"><mml:mi>X</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>: 1.2429, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M13" display="inline"><mml:mi>Y</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>: <inline-formula><mml:math id="M14" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.0012, <?xmltex \hack{\hfill\break}?> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M15" display="inline"><mml:mi>Z</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>: 0.8783 in metres</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">DORIS antenna reference</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Pre-launch</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">Pre-launch</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Pre-launch</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">SLR/DORIS observation weight</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">3 cm/0.05 cm s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M16" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">10 cm/0.2 cm s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M17" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1 cm/0.03 cm s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M18" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula></oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup><?xmltex \end{scaleboxenv}?></oasis:table><?xmltex \begin{scaleboxenv}{.98}[.98]?><table-wrap-foot><p id="d1e262">Note:
<uri>https://ilrs.cddis.eosdis.nasa.gov/missions/satellite_missions/past_missions/topx_com.html</uri>.</p></table-wrap-foot><?xmltex \end{scaleboxenv}?></table-wrap>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2">
  <title>Orbit and altimetry data</title>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS1">
  <title>Description of the analysed orbit solutions</title>
      <?pagebreak page208?><p id="d1e790">Our aim is to assess the range and the characteristics of radial orbit
errors on regional and global scales. Therefore, the differences between
three independent state-of-the-art orbit solutions available for the
TOPEX/Poseidon mission are analysed. All orbit solutions are derived in the
International Terrestrial Reference Frame (ITRF) 2008
(Altamimi et al., 2011) and use satellite laser ranging (SLR) and Doppler
Orbitography and Radiopositioning Integrated by Satellite (DORIS) tracking
data but are based on different software and on distinct models. The actual
multi-mission GFZ orbit solution VER11 (Rudenko et al., 2017) is used as a
reference in this paper and is called REF hereafter. The GSFC std1504 orbit
(Lemoine et al., 2010; Beckley et al., 2015) has been chosen by the ESA CCI
Sea Level Phase 2 project and differs in many aspects from the GFZ orbit,
regarding software as well as the suite of implemented models including
another Earth's gravity field model. As the third model, we have chosen the
GRGS orbit solution (Soudarin et al., 2016), which is derived using models
similar to those of the GFZ solution but employs another software
package. The main models used for GFZ REF, GRGS, and GSFC std1504 orbits are
described in Table 1. The main differences in these three orbit solutions
are related to the choice of the Earth's time-variable gravity (TVG) field
models, ocean tide model, modelling of non-tidal atmospheric and oceanic
gravity, and the treatment of geocentre variations in station displacements, as
well as the constraints of the observation data (SLR/DORIS). While for the
GRGS solution comparatively high weight is on the SLR data, for the GFZ
solution there is higher weight on the DORIS data. Proper modelling of the
Earth's gravity field, in particular of its time-variable part, is crucial
for the computation of precise orbits of altimetry satellites and has been
shown to contribute to errors in regional sea level trends and seasonal
signals (Rudenko et al., 2014; Esselborn et al., 2015). For the pre-GRACE (Gravity Recovery and Climate
Experiment) period, the TVG field is poorly constrained. The weekly TVG solutions used
for the GSFC orbit were derived up to degree and order 5 from the analysis
of SLR and DORIS observations to 20 geodetic satellites starting from 1993
(Lemoine et al., 2016). The TVG part used for the GFZ REF (GRGS) orbits
consists of the combination of yearly coefficients, drift terms, and annual
and semi-annual variations for degrees and orders 1 to 80 (2 to 50) derived
from GRACE data and SLR measurements to the Laser Geodynamic Satellite (LAGEOS)-1/2. The annual and
semi-annual coefficients used for the GFZ REF orbit are fitted yearly
starting from August 2002. For the pre-GRACE period before August 2002
(January 2003), only the degree-2 terms exhibit yearly values and drift
terms; however, the annual and semi-annual variations, which were derived
for the GRACE period, are applied for degrees and orders 1–80 (2–50) (Rudenko
et al., 2014, Förste et al., 2016).</p>
      <p id="d1e793">The approach adopted for the estimation of the radial orbit errors
implies that errors common to all three orbits cannot be detected. In
particular, all three orbits rely on the ITRF2008 reference frame and
basically the same set of tracking stations. To further estimate the
orbit-related radial orbit error budget due to the most significant factors, we
have derived five test orbits based on the GFZ REF orbit. The errors related
to inconsistencies of the tracking data networks are tested by using only
one tracking network instead of two. Since the GRGS orbit was derived
without estimation of the DORIS system time bias, we have studied the impact
of this bias on the radial orbit differences with special focus on
systematic differences between ascending and descending passes. The effect
of errors in the realization of the terrestrial reference frame is tested by
the implementation of the most recent ITRF2014 version. The effects of
uncertainties in Earth's TVG field models are tested by the implementation
of the EIGEN-6S2 model which is the predecessor of the EIGEN-6S4 model. For
each case, the same background models and estimated parameters were used as
for the REF orbit, except for those that represent the changes for the
specific test case. The five test orbits and the differences with respect to
the GFZ REF orbit are
<list list-type="bullet"><list-item>
      <p id="d1e798">SLR orbit: derived by using SLR tracking observations only;</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e802">DORIS orbit: computed by using DORIS tracking observations only;</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e806">TBias orbit: calculated without estimation of the DORIS system time
bias;</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e810">ITRF14 orbit: calculated by using the information on station positions and
velocities from ITRF2014 (Altamimi et al., 2016) instead of ITRF2008; and</p></list-item><list-item>
      <p id="d1e814">Geoid orbit: obtained by using the EIGEN-6S2 (Rudenko et al., 2014), Earth's
gravity field model, instead of the EIGEN-6S4 model (Förste et al., 2016).
Note that the Geoid orbit is based on the same gravity field model as the
GRGS orbit.</p></list-item></list></p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS2">
  <title>TOPEX altimeter data</title>
      <p id="d1e823">In order to assess the orbit accuracy at crossover points and to relate the
estimated errors to the total variability of the sea level data, along-track
TOPEX Sea Level v1.1 Essential Climate Variable (ECV) data (Ablain et al., 2015) released from the ESA
CCI Sea Level project have been included in the analyses. The along-track
data have been corrected for all instrumental and geophysical effects by the
state-of-the-art models provided with the data. However, for some
corrections, updated models were applied. These include EOT11a ocean tides
and loading tides (Savcenko and Bosch, 2012), solid Earth tides following
the International Earth Rotation and Reference Systems Service (IERS) 2003 Conventions, and updated GPD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M19" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> wet tropospheric corrections
(Fernandes and Lazaro, 2016). The altimeter crossover differences were
calculated for each test orbit separately. For the calculation of sea level
anomaly grids, the GSFC std1504 orbits have been selected. The processing of
the data, the crossover point analyses, and collinear analyses, as well as the
interpolation to a regular grid, were performed using GFZ's Altimeter
Database and Processing System (ADS) Central (Schöne et al., 2010).</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T2" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e836">Average values of SLR and DORIS root mean square (rms) fits; radial, cross-track, and
along-track 2-day arc overlaps; and the number of the arcs used to compute
these values for the reference and five test orbits.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="10">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="9" colname="col9" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="10" colname="col10" align="left"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Orbit</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">SLR</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">DORIS</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">Radial arc</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">Cross-</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">Along-</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">Number of</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">Number of</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">Number of</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">Comment</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">name</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">rms</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">rms</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">overlap</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">track arc</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">track arc</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">arcs used</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">arcs used</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">arc overlaps</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">on the</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">(cm)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">(cm s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M20" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">(cm)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">overlap</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">overlap</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">for SLR</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">for DORIS</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">used</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">orbit</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">(cm)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">(cm)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">rms</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">rms</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10"/>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">REF</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1.96</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.04778</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.90</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">6.52</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">3.65</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">494</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">459</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">433</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">Reference</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">SLR</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1.59</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">1.72</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">7.23</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">9.54</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">494</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">425</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">SLR only</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">DORIS</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.04795</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.88</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">6.84</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">2.96</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">–</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">459</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">392</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">DORIS only</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">TBias</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1.99</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.04785</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.85</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">6.45</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">2.78</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">494</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">459</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">433</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">No DORIS</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">system time</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"/>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">bias estimated</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">ITRF14</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1.97</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.04776</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.84</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">6.45</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">2.83</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">494</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">459</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">433</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">ITRF2014</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Geoid</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1.96</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.04775</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.83</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">6.43</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">2.80</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">494</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">459</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">433</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col10">EIGEN-6S2</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S2.SS3">
  <title>Evaluation of the orbit solutions</title>
      <p id="d1e1274">In the following, the performance of the analysed orbits is evaluated. For
the GFZ orbit solutions, the consistency with tracking data and at arc
overlaps is assessed. Table 2 provides the main results of precise orbit
determination of the GFZ reference and test orbits, namely, the average
values of SLR and DORIS root mean square (rms) fits; radial, cross-track, and along-track
2-day arc overlaps, illustrating the internal orbit consistency in these
directions; and the number of the arcs used to compute these values for the
reference and five test orbits. When using the same observation types and
weighting, smaller values of arc overlaps and observation fits indicate
improved orbit quality. Reduced radial arc overlaps characterize reduced
radial orbit error. SLR observations were used at all 494 orbital arcs of
five GFZ orbits, except for the DORIS orbit for which no SLR observations
were used at all. Since DORIS data are available for TOPEX/Poseidon only
until 31 October 2004, these data were used at 459 orbital arcs preceding
this date, except for the SLR orbit for which no DORIS observations were
used at all. All orbital arcs for GFZ orbits are manoeuvre free. Thus,
2-day arc overlaps were computed for 433 overlaps for the REF, TBias,
ITRF14, and Geoid orbits. In the case of the SLR and DORIS orbits, a few gaps in
the observations caused radial arc overlap larger than 0.5 m. Those arc
overlaps have been excluded from the statistics resulting in fewer arc
overlaps shown for these orbits in Table 2.</p>
      <p id="d1e1277">Figure 1 provides information on the SLR rms fit of the reference and tests
orbits, while Fig. 2 displays the radial arc overlap of two consecutive
2-day orbit arcs. The four<?pagebreak page209?> orbits derived using SLR and DORIS observations
provide comparable levels of average SLR rms fits (1.96–1.99 cm; Fig. 1).
The smallest SLR rms fit (1.59 cm) but largest radial arc overlap (1.72 cm)
are obtained for the SLR-only orbit, indicating a weak orbit quality over
large geographical areas. The largest SLR rms fit is obtained for the TBias
orbit. When no DORIS system time bias is estimated, inconsistencies between
the timing of the observation system result in higher misfits. Among the
five orbits derived using DORIS observations, a slightly increased average
value of the DORIS rms fits (0.04795 cm s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M21" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) is obtained for the DORIS orbit
derived using only DORIS observations (related to the weighting of
observation types and the number of observations used) followed by the TBias
orbit (0.04785 cm s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M22" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), while the other orbits derived using SLR and DORIS
observations (REF, ITRF14, and Geoid) show comparable average values of
the DORIS rms fits (0.04775–0.04778 cm s<inline-formula><mml:math id="M23" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>). The smallest average value of the
radial arc overlaps (Fig. 2) is obtained using the EIGEN-6S2 geopotential
model (0.83 cm). The radial arc overlaps of the TOPEX/Poseidon orbit derived
using only SLR data are 1.95 times larger than those of the orbit derived
using only DORIS data. Using the reference frame ITRF2014 instead of
ITRF2008 eliminates many outliers in the radial arc overlaps and therefore
reduces the average value of the radial overlaps from 0.90 to 0.84 cm.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F1"><caption><p id="d1e1318">SLR rms fits of TOPEX/Poseidon REF, SLR, TBias, ITRF14, and Geoid
orbits.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/14/205/2018/os-14-205-2018-f01.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e1327">The DORIS system time bias is regularly estimated and applied during GFZ's
POD process to adjust the DORIS time system to the SLR time system. Zelensky
et al. (2006) showed that there is a strong linear relationship between
along-track orbit position and the DORIS time bias. The comparison of the
fits and overlap values of the REF and the TBias orbits (Table 2) shows that
the estimation of the DORIS time bias improves the orbit quality. The
temporal behaviour of the DORIS system time bias derived for the TOPEX/Poseidon
REF, ITRF14, and Geoid test orbits is in close agreement (Fig. A1) and
resembles the estimation given by Lemoine et al. (2016). For the GFZ VER11
(REF) orbit, it indicates variations between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M24" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>22.4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M25" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>s
and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M26" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>4.4 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M27" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>s from 1992.73 to 1994.18, followed by a period of a
linear trend of 35.11 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M28" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>s yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M29" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> between 1994.18 and 1995.00 that ends
with a jump from <inline-formula><mml:math id="M30" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>28.65 to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M31" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>1.98 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M32" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>s around 1995.00. Then,
the DORIS time bias shows two rather stable periods with a mean value of
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M33" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>3.70 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M34" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>s with a standard deviation of 1.77 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M35" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>s from 1995.0 to
1999.0 and a mean value of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M36" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>1.32 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M37" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>s with a standard deviation of
1.19 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M38" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>s from 1999.0 to 2001.13, followed again by a period of a linear
trend (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M39" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>3.14 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M40" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>s yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M41" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) from 2001.13 to 2004.83. The mean value of the
DORIS system time bias is 0.04 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M42" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 0.36 <inline-formula><mml:math id="M43" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">µ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula>s for the DORIS test
orbit, and it is equal to zero (not shown in the figure) for the TBias
orbit.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T3" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e1487">Crossover point analysis: median and rms values of global mean
height differences for maximum time lapses of 5 days for all orbit solutions
during the period April 1993–September 2004. The highest and lowest values
of each quantity are marked in bold.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="9">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="9" colname="col9" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Crossover differences</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">REF</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">GSFC</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">GRGS</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">SLR</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">DORIS</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">TBias</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">ITRF14</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">Geoid</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Median (mm)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M44" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>3.1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M45" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula><bold>1.6</bold></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M46" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>3.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M47" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>2.7</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M48" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula><bold>4.7</bold></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M49" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>3.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M50" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>2.8</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M51" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>2.1</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">rms (mm)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">49.8</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><bold>49.5</bold></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><bold>51.3</bold></oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">51.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">50.7</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">49.8</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">49.8</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col9">49.7</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F2"><caption><p id="d1e1668">Radial arc overlaps of TOPEX/Poseidon REF, SLR, DORIS, TBias,
ITRF14, and Geoid orbits.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/14/205/2018/os-14-205-2018-f02.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e1677">For all orbit solutions, a crossover point analysis for the period April
1993 to September 2004 has been performed based on the altimeter data
described in Sect. 2.2. Differences between the values of ascending and
descending passes at crossover points are caused by oceanic variability and
errors related to the measurements, the orbit, and the<?pagebreak page210?> applied corrections.
Since in our study errors related to the measurements and the applied
corrections and oceanic variability are always identical, here, smaller
absolute median differences and decreased rms values at crossover points are
indicative of increased orbit quality. The median of the time series of
global mean height differences and rms values at the crossover points are
provided in Table 3. The smallest ascending/descending differences (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M52" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>1.6 mm)
and as well the lowest rms values (49.5 mm) at the crossover points are
reached by the GSFC orbit solution. The median global ascending/descending
differences are <inline-formula><mml:math id="M53" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>3.1 mm for the GFZ REF and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M54" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>3.0 mm for the GRGS orbit
solutions. However, while the rms value of the GFZ REF solution (49.8 mm) is
comparable to the one of the GSFC (49.5 mm), the GRGS orbit solution shows
degraded performance (51.3 mm rms). Keeping the DORIS time bias fixed to
zero deteriorates the median differences between ascending and descending
passes to <inline-formula><mml:math id="M55" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>3.6 mm but does not change the rms value. The median of the
global mean ascending/descending differences is <inline-formula><mml:math id="M56" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>2.7 mm for the SLR and
<inline-formula><mml:math id="M57" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>4.7 mm for the DORIS orbits. Both orbit solutions show degraded performance
(<inline-formula><mml:math id="M58" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">51.2</mml:mn><mml:mo>/</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">50.7</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula> mm rms) with respect to the REF solution. This shows that using
SLR and DORIS observations together improves the orbit quality considerably,
even though the DORIS observations seem to aggravate the mean differences
between ascending and descending tracks. Using ITRF2014 instead of ITRF2008
does not change the rms of crossover differences but improves their median
values. The Geoid orbit solution exhibits clearly improved
ascending/descending differences (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M59" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>2.1 mm) as well as a slight reduction of
the rms values. A further analysis of the temporal evolution of the
ascending/descending differences reveals that these improvements take place
in the pre-GRACE period before August 2002.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3">
  <title>Estimation of the orbit-related sea level error</title>
      <p id="d1e1749">Sea level varies on typical temporal and spatial scales that are often
connected to the driving processes. At the same time, orbit errors are not
randomly distributed but exhibit also typical temporal and spatial patterns.
Here, we apply statistical methods in order to assess the errors related to
the orbit solutions for global and regional sea level at seasonal to decadal
timescales.</p>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS1">
  <title>Methods</title>
      <p id="d1e1757">In order to estimate the orbit-related errors in sea level height, the
differences between the radial components of the GFZ REF orbit and the two
independent orbit solutions (GSFC and GRGS) have been analysed. To assess
the effect of uncertainties in the reference system, in the realization of
the tracking station networks and in Earth's time-variable gravity on the
radial error budget, we have evaluated the differences of the radial orbit
components between the GFZ's REF and ITRF14, SLR, DORIS, and Geoid test
orbits. Since the radial orbit components map directly to the derived sea
level heights, we consider the differences presented here to represent
estimates of the orbit-related sea level error. However, since the orbit
error analysis is based on orbit differences, any error common to all three
orbits will be lacking in our assessment.</p>
      <p id="d1e1760">The differences of the radial orbit components at the time of the altimetry
measurement (1 Hz, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M60" display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 6.7 km on the ground) are calculated and
interpolated to a global 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M61" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M62" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M63" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> grid for every cycle
(9.92 days). In general, we merge both ascending and descending passes in
our calculations. In addition, we analyse ascending and descending passes
for some orbit combinations separately. In order to study the global mean
differences between the radial orbit components and their temporal
evolution, global mean rms values per cycle are derived. They are calculated
as the square root of the spatial<?pagebreak page211?> weighted mean of all squared radial orbit
differences on the 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M64" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M65" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M66" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> grid for the respective cycle.</p>
      <p id="d1e1821">Since we are not interested in the orbit error itself, but rather in the
effect of radial orbit errors on global and regional sea level, we treat the
radial orbit differences the same way as the sea level values from
altimetry. For the estimation of global mean errors, the gridded radial
orbit differences are averaged (with area weighting) over the ocean (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M67" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>67<inline-formula><mml:math id="M68" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> latitude). Starting from these global mean orbit differences,
global mean rms values relative to the temporal mean of the series are
calculated as an estimate for the orbit-related error of the global mean sea
level. Decadal trends, annual and semi-annual signals, and the corresponding
formal errors are estimated by a least-square fit. The seasonal errors are
derived from the amplitudes of the annual signal. As a measure of errors at
interannual timescales, we calculate the rms of the 5-year running trend
series of the radial orbit differences. Since the time series is only
11 years long, it is not possible to derive statistically sound estimates of the
decadal trend. Here, the errors of decadal trends are assumed to correspond
to the absolute values of the trends fitted to the series of the radial
orbit differences. For the estimation of regional upper bound errors, at
each grid point, rms values relative to the local temporal mean, annual
cycle, rms of the 5-year running trend, and decadal trends are calculated in
correspondence to the global analyses. From the 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M69" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M70" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M71" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>
grid, the maximum values over the ocean are extracted to estimate regional
upper bound errors.</p>
      <p id="d1e1865">In order to relate the estimated errors to the total variability of the sea
level data, TOPEX altimeter data have been included as well. The data and the
processing are described in Sect. 2.2. From the gridded sea level anomalies,
seasonal, interannual, and decadal trends were derived using the methods
described above.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS2">
  <title>Global mean errors</title>
      <p id="d1e1874">In the following, we investigate the orbit-related global sea level error,
differentiating between the total error and its annual, interannual, and
decadal components. The TBias orbit differences are not included in these
analyses but will be further investigated for the study of changes between
ascending and descending passes (Sect. 3.4). The time series of the global
mean rms of gridded radial orbit differences per cycle are shown in Fig. 3
for all orbit solutions relative to GFZ's REF orbit. The largest differences
occur between the REF and the GRGS orbits; the smallest changes occur for
the ITRF14 test orbit. Most orbit differences are dominated by subseasonal
variability; only for the Geoid and ITRF14 orbits the rms per cycle series
are governed by seasonal and decadal periods. For the Geoid, GSFC, and GRGS
orbit differences relative to the REF orbit, the rms series exhibit a
seasonal cycle, which is an indication for seasonal orbit differences on
regional scales. The rms of the REF minus Geoid orbit difference is decreased after August
2002, indicating that the main differences between the two orbits originate
from the pre-GRACE period. In contrast, the differences between the REF and
the ITRF14 orbits slightly increase from 2000 onwards.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T4" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e1880">Estimates of global mean orbit-related errors for the total signal,
interannual, and decadal trends. Values are derived from the mean radial
orbit differences over the oceans for REF minus SLR, REF minus DORIS,
REF minus ITRF14, REF minus Geoid, REF minus GSFC, and REF minus GRGS for the period April 1993–June 2004.
The corresponding values derived from the altimetric sea level anomalies
(SLAs) are added for comparison. Details on the estimation method are given in
Sect. 3.1.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="8">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="8" colname="col8" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Global mean error</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">REF-SLR</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">REF-DORIS</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">REF-ITRF14</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">REF-Geoid</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">REF-GSFC</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">REF-GRGS</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">SLA</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">rms (mm)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.7</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">1.8</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1.1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">1.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">13.0</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">rms 5-year trend (mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M72" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.04</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.11</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.03</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.02</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.07</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.10</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">0.37</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M73" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> decadal trend (mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M74" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.00</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.06</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.01</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.00</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">0.08</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.02</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col8">3.20</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F3"><caption><p id="d1e2055">Time series of the global mean rms per cycle of gridded radial orbit
differences for REF minus GSFC (dark blue) and REF minus GRGS (red, <bold>a</bold>);
REF minus DORIS (dark blue), REF minus SLR (light blue), REF minus Geoid (green), and REF minus ITRF14 (red, <bold>b</bold>).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/14/205/2018/os-14-205-2018-f03.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e2071">From the time series of global mean orbit differences over the oceans, the rms,
annual cycle, 5-year trend variability, and decadal trend differences are
calculated and used as an estimate of the orbit-related error on different
timescales. These orbit errors are summarized in Table 4 for all orbit
models together with the corresponding values derived from altimetric sea
level anomalies. The global mean rms of the radial orbit differences between
the REF and GRGS (GSFC) orbits amounts to 1.2 (1.1) mm, which corresponds to
8 % of the global mean sea level variability of 13.0 mm. The restriction
to one tracking station subnetwork leads to large changes of the orbit; for
the DORIS (SLR) orbit solution, the rms values of the radial differences with
respect to the REF orbit amount to 1.8 mm (0.7 mm), which exceeds the size of
the estimated total orbit errors. This highlights the importance of
manifold, precise, and consistent tracking data for accurate global mean sea
level estimates. The substitution of the Earth's gravity field model
(EIGEN-6S4 by EIGEN-6S2) and the ITRF realization (ITRF2008 by ITRF2014)
accounts for 0.2 and 0.3 mm, respectively, of the mean rms orbit errors.
A spectral analysis of the global mean radial differences (Fig. A2) exhibits
peaks at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M75" display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 60 days for all but the GRGS and TBias orbit
differences and at <inline-formula><mml:math id="M76" display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 90 and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M77" display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 170 days for the
SLR and DORIS orbit differences. An annual component can be observed for the
GRGS and Geoid orbit differences. Since the annual amplitude is less than
1 mm only, it can be neglected and is not included in Table 4. The time
series of the 5-year running trends of the global mean radial<?pagebreak page212?> orbit
differences over the ocean are shown in Fig. 4 for the various orbit
combinations. All curves range between <inline-formula><mml:math id="M78" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.3 and <inline-formula><mml:math id="M79" display="inline"><mml:mo>+</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.2 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M80" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, and
show at least one zero crossing and imply interannual changes of the
estimated decadal sea level trends. The corresponding curve of the 5-year
running trends for the global mean sea level (not shown) ranges between 4 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M81" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>
in the year 1997 and 2.6 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M82" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> in 2000. Before 1998, the GSFC and
GFZ solutions are close to each other and both suggest smaller sea level
trends for this period than the GRGS solution. After that, trends derived
from GFZ orbits are weaker than the ones derived from GSFC orbits and
stronger than the ones derived from GRGS. The maximum interannual trend
variability of 0.1 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M83" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> occurs between the REF and GRGS orbits (Table 4)
which amounts to almost 30 % of the corresponding value derived for the
global mean sea level curve (0.37 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M84" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>). An error of this size might
interfere with the estimation of global mean sea level acceleration. Hence,
relative to the GFZ orbits, the use of the GSFC (GRGS) orbits would result in
a slightly increased (decreased) acceleration of the global mean sea level
curve during the TOPEX period. Since the exclusive use of the DORIS tracking
station leads to interannual trend variability of 0.11 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M85" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>,
inconsistencies of the tracking stations' subnetworks might explain large
portions of the observed global mean interannual variability. The errors of
the interannual trend variability are for all orbit combinations higher than
for the decadal trends. The global mean decadal trends (calculated over the
full mission time) are mostly significant but can be further neglected,
since they are well below the uncertainty of the corresponding global mean
decadal sea level trend (<inline-formula><mml:math id="M86" display="inline"><mml:mo lspace="0mm">±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.5 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M87" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>).</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T5" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e2205">Estimates of regional maximum orbit-related errors for the total and
seasonal signals, and interannual and decadal trends. Values are derived from the
radial orbit differences for REF minus SLR, REF minus DORIS,
REF minus ITRF14, REF minus Geoid, REF minus GSFC, and
REF minus GRGS for the period April 1993–June 2004. Details on
the estimation method are given in Sect. 3.1.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="7">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="5" colname="col5" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="6" colname="col6" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="7" colname="col7" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Regional maximum error</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">REF-SLR</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">REF-DORIS</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">REF-ITRF14</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">REF-Geoid</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">REF-GSFC</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">REF-GRGS</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">rms (mm)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">7.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">9.3</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">2.4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">3.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">7.4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">10.7</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Annual amplitude (mm)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">1.4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">2.1</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">3.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">5.4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">5.6</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">rms 5-year trend (mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M88" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.5</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.6</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.9</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M89" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> decadal trend (mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M90" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.2</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col5">0.4</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col6">1.0</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col7">0.7</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F4"><caption><p id="d1e2391">The 5-year running trends for the global mean radial orbit differences
over the oceans for REF minus GSFC (dark blue), REF minus GRGS (light blue), and GRGS minus GSFC (green, <bold>a</bold>);
REF minus SLR (dark blue), REF minus DORIS (light blue),
REF minus Geoid (green), and REF minus ITRF14 (red, <bold>b</bold>). Trend values are given for the central time of the corresponding
running window.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/14/205/2018/os-14-205-2018-f04.pdf"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS3">
  <title>Regional errors</title>
      <p id="d1e2412">The maximum regional errors derived from the analysis of the gridded orbit
difference series over the oceans are summarized in Table 5. The TBias orbit
differences are not included in these analyses but will be further
investigated for the study of changes between ascending and descending
passes (Sect. 3.4). Regionally, the maximum radial orbit differences on the
1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M91" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M92" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M93" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> grid between the REF and GRGS (GSFC) orbits
amount to 10.7 (7.4) mm. The exclusive use of only one tracking station
subnetwork leads to distinct changes with rms values of 9.3 (7.2) mm for
the DORIS (SLR) subnetwork. This suggests that for the weighting factors
applied with GFZ's REF orbit especially inhomogeneity in the SLR station
subnetwork has the potential to produce notable regional orbit errors.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F5" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e2442">Annual amplitude of the radial orbit differences for REF minus GSFC, REF minus GRGS, GRGS minus GSFC, and
REF minus Geoid. The regions with formal errors larger than the
fitted value are masked out (white). The maximum amplitude difference is
given in Table 5.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=341.433071pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/14/205/2018/os-14-205-2018-f05.pdf"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e2451">Annual difference signals with respect to the REF orbit are most prominent
for the GSFC and GRGS solutions, while they are negligible for the SLR,
DORIS, and ITRF14 orbits. The corresponding patterns of the annual
amplitudes for the differences of REF versus GSFC, GRGS, and Geoid orbits
and of GRGS versus GSFC orbits are shown in Fig. 5. The observed patterns
for the GSFC and GRGS orbit differences consist of a dipole with centres in
the south-eastern Indian Ocean and the Caribbean. Since the two centres are
phase shifted by half a year, the effect on the global mean differences is
marginal. The pattern coincides with the patterns already shown to be
related to the use of AOD1B products (Rudenko et al., 2016a) and
different time-variable gravity fields for TOPEX/Poseidon POD (Esselborn et
al., 2015). However, the annual differences between the REF and Geoid orbits
can only explain part of the observed differences between the REF and GRGS
orbits. In addition, the annual<?pagebreak page213?> differences between GRGS and GSFC orbits are
quite small and show no distinct pattern. Another plausible source of the
relatively strong signal for the GSFC and GRGS orbit cases is the
differences in the annual corrections for station coordinates by geocentre
motion corrections and non-tidal atmospheric loading. A careful
consideration of the relevant models used for the POD of these three orbits
suggests that the observed differences originate in part from the non-tidal
atmospheric loading effect on the stations which was applied for the GFZ but
not the GRGS and GSFC orbits. There is evidence that the annual signal from
the EIGEN-6S2 gravity field model is closer to the gravity field solution
applied for the GSFC orbits than to the one from EIGEN-6S4 – at least in
the pre-GRACE period (Fig. 5).</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F6" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e2457">The rms of 5-year running trend differences of the radial orbit
components for REF minus GSFC, REF minus GRGS, REF minus SLR, REF minus DORIS, REF minus ITRF14, and
REF minus Geoid for the period April 1993–June 2004. The global
mean rms of the differences over the ocean is given in Table 4.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/14/205/2018/os-14-205-2018-f06.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e2466">The patterns of the interannual variability of the regional trends are shown
in Fig. 6 for all orbit differences. The trend errors reach up to 1.2 (0.9) mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M94" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> for the GSFC (GRGS) orbit differences (Table 5). The patterns of the
trend variability from the GSFC and GRGS differences show coinciding maxima
in the regions around South America and Australia. The differences for the
Geoid orbit show similar features even though the absolute trend variability
is smaller (up to 0.4 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M95" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>). For the SLR and DORIS orbit differences, the
patterns of interannual variability (Fig. 6) are patchy and oriented along
individual tracks. For the ITRF14 solution, the trend variability is
slightly increased at high latitudes (up to 0.2 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M96" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>). The patterns of
the interannual trend variability derived from the GFZ test orbits suggest
that differences in the TVG modelling and contributions from the tracking
systems are the most plausible sources of the observed regional differences
of trend variability between REF, GSFC, and GRGS orbits.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F7" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e2507">Decadal trend differences of radial orbit components for REF minus GSFC,
REF minus GRGS, REF minus SLR, REF minus DORIS, REF minus ITRF14, and REF minus Geoid for the
period April 1993–June 2004. Regions with formal errors larger than the
fitted value are masked out (white). The global mean trend difference over
the ocean is given in Table 4.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/14/205/2018/os-14-205-2018-f07.png"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e2516">The strongest regional changes in the decadal trend (Fig. 7 and Table 5) are
observed for the differences between the REF and GSFC orbits (up to
1.0 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M97" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>). For the GSFC orbit, high absolute decadal trend differences tend
to coincide with maximum seasonal differences but not with maximum
interannual variability. The differences between the REF and GRGS orbit
trends reach 0.7 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M98" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> at maximum, and the patterns of maximum annual
amplitudes, interannual and decadal trend differences coincide. The
differences between the REF and Geoid orbit trends resemble these patterns.
However, the trend values are smaller (up to 0.4 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M99" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) and can explain
only about half of the observed decadal trend differences. The decadal
trends related to EIGEN-6S2 and EIGEN-6S4 differences during the TOPEX
period presumably originate from the modelling of the TVG after August 2002,
since before drift terms are only applied to degree-2 terms. The degree-2
terms, in turn, are defined by SLR data and show close agreement between the
two TVG models for the pre-GRACE period. The ITRF14 orbit differences drift
locally by a rate of up to 0.2 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M100" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> with positive values in the Southern
Hemisphere and negative values in the Northern Hemisphere, indicating a
drift in the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M101" display="inline"><mml:mi>z</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> component between the reference system realizations.<?pagebreak page215?> The
observed values are in good agreement with the combined change of scale and
rate of the <inline-formula><mml:math id="M102" display="inline"><mml:mi>z</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> component of the transformation between ITRF2008 and ITRF2014
(Altamimi et al., 2016). The regional decadal trends for the SLR and DORIS
orbit differences are patchy and rather related to particular tracks without
consistent long-wavelength behaviour. Higher trends of up to 0.4 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M103" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>
emerge for the DORIS orbit. The patterns of the decadal trend differences
derived from the GFZ test orbits suggest that differences in the TVG
modelling are the most plausible source of the observed regional decadal
trend differences between REF, GSFC, and GRGS orbits.</p>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS4">
  <title>Differences between ascending and descending passes</title>
      <p id="d1e2601">The crossover point analysis (Table 3) reveals considerable global mean
differences between ascending and descending passes for most orbits. Fu and
Haines (2013) showed that orbit errors might induce diverging drifts for sea
level derived from ascending and descending passes. In the following, we
study whether there are systematic changes to the results obtained so far
when ascending and descending passes are investigated separately. Therefore,
for a subset of orbit solutions, the same analyses were performed as before
but for data sets derived from ascending and descending passes only. Since
the DORIS orbit reveals the most pronounced median ascending/descending
differences, we have chosen to study the REF minus DORIS and the REF minus TBias orbit differences further.
During the POD of the GRGS orbit, the DORIS system time bias has not been
estimated; therefore, we include the GRGS orbit in the analysis as well.
However, in contrast to the previous analysis, we study the difference of
Geoid minus GRGS instead of REF minus GRGS in order to exclude the effects of different time-variable
gravity fields from the analysis.</p>

<?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><table-wrap id="Ch1.T6" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e2607">Differences of interannual trend variability and decadal
trend for merged, ascending, and descending passes related to the orbit
solution. Values are derived from the mean radial orbit differences over the
oceans for Geoid minus GRGS, REF minus DORIS, and REF minus TBias for
the period April 1993–June 2004. Values for ascending and
descending passes are given in brackets.</p></caption><oasis:table frame="topbot"><oasis:tgroup cols="4">
     <oasis:colspec colnum="1" colname="col1" align="left"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="2" colname="col2" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="3" colname="col3" align="right"/>
     <oasis:colspec colnum="4" colname="col4" align="right"/>
     <oasis:thead>
       <oasis:row rowsep="1">
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">Global mean differences</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">Geoid-GRGS</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">REF-DORIS</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">REF-TBias</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:thead>
     <oasis:tbody>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1">rms 5-year trend (mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M104" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2">0.10 (0.62, 0.48)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3">0.11 (0.53, 0.38)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4">0.02 (0.55, 0.57)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
       <oasis:row>
         <oasis:entry colname="col1"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M105" display="inline"><mml:mi mathvariant="normal">Δ</mml:mi></mml:math></inline-formula> decadal trend (mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M106" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col2"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M107" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.02 (0.30, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M108" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.34)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col3"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M109" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.06 (0.20, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M110" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.27)</oasis:entry>
         <oasis:entry colname="col4"><inline-formula><mml:math id="M111" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.01 (0.10, <inline-formula><mml:math id="M112" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.13)</oasis:entry>
       </oasis:row>
     </oasis:tbody>
   </oasis:tgroup></oasis:table></table-wrap>

      <p id="d1e2744">The global mean radial orbit differences for ascending and descending passes
are for all three cases in the range of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M113" display="inline"><mml:mo>±</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>12 mm (Fig. A3). The
ascending and descending radial orbit differences are significantly
anti-correlated. The correlation coefficient is almost <inline-formula><mml:math id="M114" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>1 for the REF minus TBias case,
almost <inline-formula><mml:math id="M115" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.8 for the Geoid minus GRGS case, and still <inline-formula><mml:math id="M116" display="inline"><mml:mo>-</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula>0.5 for the REF minus DORIS case. The correlation is
further increased for periods of more than 1 year. The REF minus TBias global mean time
series resembles the DORIS system time bias applied for the REF orbit (Fig. A1). The global mean radial differences for the Geoid minus GRGS
case reveal similar features
as well. All three orbit differences exhibit diverging global mean radial
differences for ascending and descending tracks after the year 2000. The
interannual trend variability and decadal trends derived from the analysis
of the global mean radial orbit difference series over the oceans are
summarized in Table 6 for the merged, ascending, and descending passes. If
the ascending and descending passes are analysed separately, the interannual
trend variability is increased by at least 5 times for the corresponding
orbit differences. Ascending passes exhibit higher variability than the
descending. The differences for the global mean decadal trends between
ascending and descending passes are a multiple of the values for the merged
data and reach up to 0.6 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M117" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, where both data sets are drifting in
opposite directions.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F8" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e2790">Decadal trend differences of radial orbit components for
ascending <bold>(a)</bold> and descending <bold>(b)</bold> passes for Geoid minus GRGS, REF minus
TBias, and REF minus DORIS for the period April 1993–June 2004.
Regions with formal errors larger than the fitted value are masked out
(white). The global mean trend difference over the ocean is given in
Table 6.</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=398.338583pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/14/205/2018/os-14-205-2018-f08.jpg"/>

        </fig>

      <p id="d1e2805">The regional patterns of the decadal trend differences for ascending and
descending passes are shown in Fig. 8. The DORIS orbit differences reveal a
striking spread between the decadal trends of the ascending and descending
passes. The trends are opposite for ascending and descending passes for most
areas of the global ocean and reach regionally absolute values of up to
0.8 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M118" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. Trends for the REF minus TBias orbit differences are very similar but smaller
than the REF minus DORIS orbit ones. The corresponding analysis for the Geoid minus GRGS orbit differences
shows again very similar features as for the DORIS differences. This
indicates that discrepancies in the reference systems of the tracking
stations (distribution of tracking stations, observation sampling, etc.)
might give rise to long-wavelength orbit errors being anti-correlated for
ascending and descending passes. Relevant contributions originate from
uncertainties of the timing of the DORIS measurements. Increasing time
biases are related to increasing along-track position errors and seem to be
transferred to radial orbit errors. This mechanism is not fully understood,
but a further analysis is beyond the scope of this paper. The uncertainties
are especially pronounced in tropical and subtropical regions. On regional
scales, the interannual and decadal trend errors derived from
ascending/descending passes separately can be many times higher than the
values derived from the merged data. Even though such effects tend to
cancel, whenever both components are merged, they might still introduce
considerable errors in regional studies that are based on along-track data,
e.g. at calibration sites.</p>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{t}?><fig id="Ch1.F9" specific-use="star"><caption><p id="d1e2822">The rms of sea level, annual amplitude, rms of interannual (5-year)
running trend, and decadal trends from TOPEX altimeter data for the period
February 1993–October 2005. Colour coded are sea level values for which the
local orbit errors (estimated from GFZ minus GRGS) reach more than
10 % of the local sea level values. All other regions are masked out
(white).</p></caption>
          <?xmltex \igopts{width=312.980315pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/14/205/2018/os-14-205-2018-f09.pdf"/>

        </fig>

</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S3.SS5">
  <title>Regional orbit errors and sea level variability</title>
      <p id="d1e2837">Our analysis exhibits large-scale patterns of the orbit-related error.
Errors for interannual to decadal sea level trends of more than 1 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M119" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>
might hamper the interpretation of the observed sea level variability from
altimetry, at least apart from the large oceanic currents. In order to
define regions where the orbit-related error should be considered when
analysing sea level data from TOPEX, we have determined areas with orbit
errors of at least 10 % of the corresponding sea level value. Figure 9
shows the sea level variability, seasonal signal, and interannual and decadal
trends derived from the ESA CCI TOPEX altimeter data for those regions where
the orbit error amounts to at least 10 % of the corresponding sea level
value. Taking into account the total orbit-related error, about half the
ocean is affected. This includes especially calm oceanic regions, whereas
for energetic regions, like the Antarctic Circumpolar Current, tropical Pacific,<?pagebreak page216?> and
the western boundary currents of the Northern Hemisphere, the dynamic ocean
signal is much larger than the orbit error. For the seasonal signal, mainly
the Southern Ocean is concerned. Critical regions for the estimation of the
interannual variability are the tropical and subtropical Atlantic and the
south-eastern Pacific. For decadal scales, the orbit-related trend errors
are prominent in a couple of regions including the South Atlantic, western
North Atlantic, central Pacific, and south-eastern Indian Ocean, but also
several marginal seas including the Mediterranean, Red Sea, Yellow Sea, and
Sea of Japan.</p>
</sec>
</sec>
<sec id="Ch1.S4" sec-type="conclusions">
  <title>Summary and conclusions</title>
      <p id="d1e2859">We have investigated the radial orbit error budget associated with three
state-of-the-art orbit solutions from GFZ, GSFC, and GRGS over the first
altimetry decade (1993–2004). It is crucial to know the accuracy of these
early altimeter data in order to judge the reliability of long-term sea
level trends and of estimates of the acceleration of global mean sea level
rise. For this purpose, we have chosen the TOPEX/Poseidon mission, since it
is the reference altimetry mission used in the ESA CCI Sea Level project
over this time span. We estimate the orbit errors from the radial orbit
differences which implies that errors common to all orbits cannot be
detected. However, since the three orbits were derived using various
up-to-date models, the errors common to the three orbits should be rather
low, which makes us confident that our error estimates represent most of the
error. A set of five test orbit solutions derived at GFZ is used to estimate
the contributions of the most significant factors to the error budget. We
have focused on the impact of uncertainties of the tracking station
subnetworks (SLR and DORIS), of the DORIS system time bias, of the reference
frame, and of the Earth's time-variable gravity field models on the radial
orbit component and hence the derived sea level. The estimates of the
radial orbit errors at seasonal, interannual (5-year), and decadal
timescales are<?pagebreak page217?> given in Table 4 for the global mean sea level and in Table 5 for
the regional sea level.</p>
      <p id="d1e2862">According to our study, the contribution of orbit uncertainties to the error
of the global mean sea level during the TOPEX period are of the order of 1.2 mm, which corresponds to 8 % of the variability of the global mean sea
level (13 mm). The global mean annual (seasonal) component of the radial
error is well below 1 mm and can be neglected. The orbit-related errors of
the decadal trends are up to 0.08 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M120" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> and should not induce any
significant artificial global mean sea level trends. However, on timescales
of 5 years, the trend variability may reach up to 0.1 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M121" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, which
amounts to almost 30 % of the corresponding sea level variability
(0.37 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M122" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>), and could potentially hamper the detection of sea level
acceleration from the altimeter data. The major contributions to this error
(0.04–0.11 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M123" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>) are, most probably, discrepancies of the station
subnetworks (DORIS or SLR) used. The contributions of Earth's time-variable
gravity field model and the ITRF realization (ITRF2008 versus ITRF2014) to
the global mean error are of only minor importance (0.03 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M124" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>). These
values are in line with the mean upper bound orbit errors given by Couhert
et al. (2015) derived for Jason-1 and Jason-2 orbits for the second
altimetry decade (2002–2012).</p>
      <p id="d1e2925">For regional scales, the maximum rms of the gridded radial orbit error is
11 mm. This error is indicative of the orbit-related sea level error on the
1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M125" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> <inline-formula><mml:math id="M126" display="inline"><mml:mo>×</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 1<inline-formula><mml:math id="M127" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mo>∘</mml:mo></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> grid and hence notably less than the actual
radial orbit error reached for TOPEX/Poseidon (e.g. Marshall et al., 1995).
The 11 mm orbit-related sea level error includes a large fraction of
subseasonal variability which is not the subject of this study. The regional
upper bound error of the seasonal signal is 6 mm, of the interannual trend
variability 1.2 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M128" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>, and of the decadal trend 1 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M129" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula>. Errors for
interannual to decadal sea level trends of more than 1 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M130" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> might hamper
the interpretation of the observed sea level variability from altimetry. For
about half of the ocean outside the energetic regions (e.g. Antarctic Circumpolar
Current, tropical Pacific, the Gulf Stream system, and Kuroshio system), the
orbit-related errors reach at least 10 % of the observed sea level variability.
For the seasonal signal, mainly the Southern Ocean is concerned. Critical
regions for the estimation of the interannual variability are the tropical
and subtropical Atlantic and the south-eastern Pacific. For decadal scales,
the orbit-related trend errors are prominent in a couple of regions
including the South Atlantic, western North Atlantic, central Pacific, and
south-eastern Indian Ocean, but also several marginal seas including the
Mediterranean, Red Sea, Yellow Sea, and Sea of Japan.</p>
      <p id="d1e2990">When using ascending and descending passes separately, the interannual and
decadal trend errors can reach multiples of the values derived from the
merged data. This is the case for global mean values as well as for regional
values. The corresponding large-scale pattern is coherent for low and medium
latitudes and is strongly anti-correlated for ascending and descending
passes. Even though such effects tend to cancel, whenever both components
are merged, they might<?pagebreak page218?> still introduce considerable errors in regional
studies, that are based on along-track data, e.g. at calibration sites.</p>
      <p id="d1e2994">Orbit errors related to discrepancies between the tracking station
subnetworks (distribution of tracking stations, observation sampling, etc.)
are studied based on GFZ's SLR, DORIS, and TBias orbit solutions. Using SLR
and DORIS observations for TOPEX POD together reduces (improves) the rms of
the altimetry single-satellite crossover differences considerably (2–3 %),
though the DORIS observations seem to aggravate the median differences
between ascending and descending passes. The proper estimation of the DORIS
system time bias has proven to be a critical factor for the minimization of
this effect. The most significant changes are observed for the DORIS orbit
solution, suggesting that uncertainties of the SLR station subnetwork should
have the most prominent effects on the orbit accuracy – at least for GFZ's
orbit solutions. This fact is, most probably, related to the weighting
factors applied to the observations within the GFZ orbit determination
process. Using the latest reference frame (ITRF2014) instead of the
predecessor (ITRF2008) slightly improves the accuracy of the TOPEX/Poseidon
orbit solution. The contribution of the uncertainties in the ITRF
realization to the regional upper bound error is only marginal. Errors
induced by uncertainties of the Earth's time-variable gravity field model
are studied on the base of GFZ's Geoid orbit solution. The orbit evaluations
show that the Geoid orbit performs slightly better than the REF orbit in the
pre-GRACE period due to differences in the periodic annual and semi-annual
variations applied to the TVG field models. Uncertainties of the gravity
field model give rise to orbit errors at all analysed periods. We estimate
regional upper bound errors of <inline-formula><mml:math id="M131" display="inline"><mml:mo>∼</mml:mo></mml:math></inline-formula> 3 mm for the seasonal signal
and of 0.4 mm yr<inline-formula><mml:math id="M132" display="inline"><mml:msup><mml:mi/><mml:mrow><mml:mo>-</mml:mo><mml:mn mathvariant="normal">1</mml:mn></mml:mrow></mml:msup></mml:math></inline-formula> for the interannual trend variability and the decadal
trend. This accounts for about 60 % of the seasonal, about 30 % of the
interannual, and about 40 % of the decadal orbit error which are related
to differences between EIGEN-6S2 and EIGEN-6S4.</p>
      <p id="d1e3016">The regional upper bound radial orbit errors obtained from our study are by
factors of 2 to 5 smaller than the ones reported by Couhert et al. (2015) for
the period 2002 to 2012. This might partly reflect recent improvements of
the stability of reference frames which results in smaller changes from
ITRF2008 to ITRF2014 than previously from ITRF2005 to ITRF2008. However, the
accuracy of the Earth's time-variable gravity model and the tracking
observations for the 1990s should be inferior to more recent periods. The
error related to the uncertainties of the tracking station subnetworks
might be underrated in our study since all analysed orbits rely on basically
the same set of tracking observations. The effect of uncertainties of the
TVG field might be underestimated as well, since
both EIGEN-6S4 and EIGEN-6S2 model the TVG field in the pre-GRACE period by
periodic annual and semi-annual variations derived from GRACE plus annual
values and drift terms for degree-2 terms derived from SLR measurements.
In contrast, the TVG field used for the GSFC orbit determination is changing
weekly. Using SLR measurements of geodetic cannon-ball satellites
(Sośnica et al., 2015; Bloßfeld et al., 2016) and in combination
with DORIS measurements of altimetry and remote sensing satellites (Lemoine
et al., 2016) allows to determine Earth's time-variable gravity for the
period 1993–2003, i.e. before GRACE, more precisely than just using SLR
measurements of LAGEOS-1/2. Combined use of GRACE measurements with SLR and DORIS measurements of
numerous geodetic satellites should further improve Earth's time-variable gravity field
models, especially for the period 1990–2003. This will further enhance orbit solutions for
the European Remote Sensing (ERS) and the TOPEX/Poseidon altimetry missions.</p>
</sec>

      
      </body>
    <back><notes notes-type="dataavailability">

      <p id="d1e3024">The GFZ VER11 orbits (Rudenko et al., 2016b) can be accessed at GFZ Data Services via <uri>http://pmd.gfz-potsdam.de/portal/</uri>. The GSFC
std1504 orbits are available at <uri>ftp://cddis.gsfc.nasa.gov/pub/misc/test/JasonOrbits/gsfc/tp-orbits/</uri>.
The GRGS orbits are available at
<uri>ftp://cddis.gsfc.nasa.gov/pub/doris/products/orbits/grg/</uri>.
The five GFZ test orbits (SLR, DORIS, Tbias, ITRF14, and Geoid) of TOPEX/Poseidon can
be obtained upon request to the authors. ESA's along-track TOPEX Sea Level ECV data
can be obtained via <uri>http://www.esa-sealevel-cci.org/products</uri>.</p>
  </notes><?xmltex \hack{\clearpage}?><app-group>

<?pagebreak page219?><app id="App1.Ch1.S1">
  <title/>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{h!}?><fig id="App1.Ch1.F1"><caption><p id="d1e3049">DORIS system time bias of TOPEX/Poseidon REF, DORIS, ITRF14, and
Geoid orbits.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=236.157874pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/14/205/2018/os-14-205-2018-f10.png"/>

      </fig>

      <?xmltex \floatpos{h!}?><fig id="App1.Ch1.F2"><caption><p id="d1e3060">Power spectra of the global mean radial orbit differences over
the oceans for REF minus GSFC, REF minus GRGS, GRGS minus GSFC, REF minus SLR,
REF minus DORIS, REF minus ITRF14, REF minus Geoid,  and REF minus TBias. Vertical dashed lines mark periods of
59, 85, and 170 days, and 1 and 5 years.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \hack{\hsize\textwidth}?>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=441.017717pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/14/205/2018/os-14-205-2018-f11.pdf"/>

      </fig>

<?xmltex \hack{\clearpage}?><?xmltex \floatpos{h!}?><fig id="App1.Ch1.F3"><caption><p id="d1e3075">Global mean radial orbit differences over the
oceans per cycle and 1-year box-car filtered for Geoid minus GRGS, REF minus DORIS,
and REF minus TBias separately for ascending (blue, cyan) and descending (yellow, red)
tracks. The cross-correlation coefficient between the ascending and
descending passes for the original and the filtered series is given in the
lower part of each graph.</p></caption>
        <?xmltex \igopts{width=241.848425pt}?><graphic xlink:href="https://os.copernicus.org/articles/14/205/2018/os-14-205-2018-f12.pdf"/>

      </fig>

<?xmltex \hack{\clearpage}?>
</app>
  </app-group><notes notes-type="competinginterests">

      <p id="d1e3090">The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.</p>
  </notes><ack><title>Acknowledgements</title><p id="d1e3096">We are grateful for the insightful comments of the reviewers  Nikita Zelensky
and John Huthnance which helped to improve the manuscript substantially. We thank
Goddard Space Flight Center and Groupe de Recherche de Géodésie Spatiale for
providing GSFC std1504 and GRGS orbit solutions, ESA CCI for along-track
TOPEX Sea Level v1.1 ECV data, and Joana Fernandes for providing updated wet
troposphere corrections (GPD<inline-formula><mml:math id="M133" display="inline"><mml:mrow><mml:mo>+</mml:mo><mml:mo>)</mml:mo></mml:mrow></mml:math></inline-formula>. This research was partly supported by the
European Space Agency (ESA) within the Climate Change Initiative Sea Level
(SLCCI) Phase II project, by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG)
through grant CoRSEA as part of the Special Priority Programme (SPP)-1889
“Regional Sea Level Change and Society” (SeaLevel) and within the projects
“Consistent dynamic satellite reference frames and terrestrial geodetic
datum parameters” and “Interactions of low-orbiting satellites with the
surrounding ionosphere and thermosphere (INSIGHT)”, and by the International
Office of the BMBF under the grant 01DO17017 “Sea Level Change and its
Hazardous Potential in the East China Sea and Adjacent Waters” (SEAHAP).
<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?><?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>
The article processing charges for this open-access <?xmltex \hack{\newline}?> publication  were covered by a Research <?xmltex \hack{\newline}?> Centre of the Helmholtz Association.
<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?><?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>
Edited by: John M. Huthnance<?xmltex \hack{\newline}?>
Reviewed by: Nikita P. Zelensky and John M. Huthnance</p></ack><ref-list>
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    <!--<article-title-html>Orbit-related sea level errors for TOPEX altimetry at seasonal to decadal timescales</article-title-html>
<abstract-html><p>Interannual to decadal sea level trends are indicators of climate variability
and change. A major source of global and regional sea level data is satellite
radar altimetry, which relies on precise knowledge of the satellite's orbit.
Here, we assess the error budget of the radial orbit component for the
TOPEX/Poseidon mission for the period 1993 to 2004 from a set of different
orbit solutions. The errors for seasonal, interannual (5-year), and decadal
periods are estimated on global and regional scales based on radial orbit
differences from three state-of-the-art orbit solutions provided by different
research teams: the German Research Centre for Geosciences (GFZ), the Groupe de
Recherche de  Géodésie Spatiale (GRGS), and the Goddard Space Flight Center
(GSFC). The global mean sea level error related
to orbit uncertainties is of the order of 1&thinsp;mm (8&thinsp;% of the global mean sea
level variability) with negligible contributions on the annual and decadal
timescales. In contrast, the orbit-related error of the interannual trend is
0.1&thinsp;mm&thinsp;yr<sup>−1</sup> (27&thinsp;% of the corresponding sea level variability) and might
hamper the estimation of an acceleration of the global mean sea level rise.
For regional scales, the gridded orbit-related error is up to 11&thinsp;mm, and for
about half the ocean the orbit error accounts for at least 10&thinsp;% of the
observed sea level variability. The seasonal orbit error amounts to 10&thinsp;%
of the observed seasonal sea level signal in the Southern Ocean. At
interannual and decadal timescales, the orbit-related trend uncertainties
reach regionally more than 1&thinsp;mm&thinsp;yr<sup>−1</sup>. The interannual trend errors account
for 10&thinsp;% of the observed sea level signal in the tropical Atlantic and the
south-eastern Pacific. For decadal scales, the orbit-related trend errors are
prominent in a several regions including the South Atlantic, western North
Atlantic, central Pacific, South Australian Basin, and the Mediterranean Sea.
Based on a set of test orbits calculated at GFZ, the sources of the observed
orbit-related errors are further investigated. The main contributors on all
timescales are uncertainties in Earth's time-variable gravity field models and on
annual to interannual timescales discrepancies of the tracking station
subnetworks, i.e. satellite laser ranging (SLR) and Doppler
Orbitography and Radiopositioning Integrated by Satellite (DORIS).</p></abstract-html>
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